Dalton Smith vs Jose Zepeda Odds, Computer Picks, Prediction and Betting Analysis

The headliner for this weekend’s Sheffield boxing event by Matchroom Sports is set between super lightweights Dalton Smith and Jose Zepeda. After dominating the domestic boxing scene in the UK, Smith is ready for his next challenge in former three-time title challenger Zepeda making his way across the pond.
When two boxing fighters as different as these two meet in the ring, it makes for an interesting night for the fans of the sport. This is where we get to see a highly-touted prospect get tested against someone we know will give him hell.
Let’s take a closer look at this Smith vs. Zepeda bout and break it down from the betting lines, all the way to how their fighting styles will clash in the ring on Saturday night. Then we will decide what Smith vs. Zepeda odds to bet on after we make a prediction.
Bout Information
DALTON SMITH vs JOSE ZEPEDA |
Location of the Game: Utilita, Sheffield, England, United Kingdom |
Date and Time: March 23, 2024 – 6:45 PM ET estimated ring walk |
Reason: Men’s super lightweight main event bout |
How to watch: DAZN |
AI Betting Picks
ODDS | AI BETTING PICKS |
OVER/UNDER | Over 10.5 rounds (+102) |
MONEYLINE | Dalton Smith (-455) |
It’s not as fun when the computer boxing picks tell you to bet on the favorite, but this is the smart bet here. The prediction for this fight is that Smith is going to be just too sharp and too slick for a past-his-prime Jose Zepeda to handle.
After looking at all the Smith vs. Zepeda odds, if you need to find a line that makes it worth betting on, check out Smith winning by decision. Those odds will be better than his money line.
Zepeda is tough enough to last all 12 rounds with this kid, there’s no question about that. He is just going to have trouble cutting off the ring and beating Smith to the punch in the pocket. The constant pressure and high output will give Smith a big test, though.
The speed advantage, athleticism, and footwork of Smith will be the reasons he wins on Saturday night. He also has shown very good fight IQ in the past by finding shots he sees early in fights and bringing them back in the later rounds after setting them up.
Smith vs Zepeda Odds
FIGHTER | MONEYLINE | OVER/UNDER |
DALTON SMITH | -455 | O 10.5 |
JOSE ZEPEDA | +330 | U 10.5 |
Smith is going into the biggest fight of his life so far on his home soil as the –455 betting favorite. You can also get him winning by KO at +270 and by decision at +100, according to boxing odds.
Zepeda is making the trek to the UK as the +330 underdog even after proving he is a world-level operator. You can get him to win by KO at +650 and by decision at +460.
Some other Smith vs. Zepeda odds to keep an eye on are the over/under of 10.5 rounds and this fight as a whole being favored to go to a decision at -215.
Betting Preview
Dalton Smith
Smith is an English boxer with a perfect 15-0 professional record. As an amateur, Smith won multiple national titles at the junior and senior ranks, along with an ABA Championship and bringing home medals from the Youth European Championships and the Youth Commonwealth Games. He has dominated the domestic scene since his youth, including capturing the British and Commonwealth titles as a pro.
Dalton Smith KOs 73% of his opponents and has tallied 11 KO wins so far in 15 fights at only 27 years old. He’s a 5’9” orthodox boxer with a 69” reach as well, totaling 93 professional rounds since making his debut in 2019. He is the 12th-best contender in the WBC rankings as of this week.
Jose Zepeda
Zepeda is a battle-tested 36-4 Mexican-American professional boxer with 28 wins by KO under his belt. Now at age 34, Zepeda’s best days might be behind him but he can still fight at a high level. He has won multiple mid-major titles in the sport but lost all three of his world title fights in his career.
“Chon” is a 5’8” southpaw with a 70 ½” reach who stays true to his Mexican background by the way he fights. There have been almost 100 more Jose Zepeda rounds to be studied than what Smith has put on tape, which makes this fight even more interesting. Zepeda has a very impressive 76% KO rate over his long career as well.
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