Kosei Tanaka vs Christian Bacasegua Rangel Odds, AI Picks, and AI Prediction
The third title fight headlining the boxing event in Japan this weekend is this WBO super flyweight championship between Kosei Tanaka and Christian Bacasegua Rangel.
This is a great matchup between a very dynamic Japanese multiple-division champion, who’s underrated in his own right, against a textbook Mexican-style fighter who has a chance to put together a performance of a lifetime to win a title in enemy territory.
We will break down the Tanaka vs Bacasegua odds and discuss the fighting styles of both men. The styles and other factors going into this fight might lead to a different betting prediction than most computer boxing picks given online. Boxing is more than just analytics and betting trends.
Game Information
| CHRISTIAN BACASEGUA RANGEL vs KOSEI TANAKA |
| Location of the Game: Kokugikan, Tokyo, Japan |
| Date and Time: February 16, 2024 – 11 PM ET estimated ring walk |
| Reason: Vacant WBO World Super Flyweight Championship |
| How to watch: ESPN+ |
AI Betting Picks
| ODDS | AI BETTING PICKS |
| OVER/UNDER | Under 10.5 rounds (+163) |
| MONEYLINE | Kosei Tanaka (-900) |
After previewing the Tanaka vs Bacasegua odds and studying the tape on both guys, the prediction for this Tanaka vs Bacasegua bout is that Tanaka will win this bout.
He is far superior in boxing skills, speed, and fight IQ. Bacasegua looks like a textbook Mexican fighter with great fighting spirit and tons of durability as he tries to get on the inside and wear his opponents down.
From looking at his record and watching the few fights of his online, Bacasegua looks like he’s going to be way out of his element this weekend. His past fights seem to be held in community centers against opponents with a lot of losses on their records.
Taking Tanaka to win by KO at +188 is the best bet to make, along with taking the under 10.5 round total. As said before, Tanaka is a three-division world champion who wants to make history and collect his fourth. This is the most favorable matchup he seemingly could get for this title right now.
Tanaka vs Bocasegua Odds
| FIGHTER | MONEYLINE | OVER/UNDER |
| CHRISTIAN BOCASEGUA RANGEL | +550 | O 10.5 |
| KOSEI TANAKA | -900 | U 10.5 |
Starting with the Tanaka vs Bacasegua odds, this fight favors to go to a decision at -180, and the over/under is at 10.5 rounds–with the ‘over’ at -240 odds. These lines suggest that oddsmakers believe this fight will go to a decision.
The boxing odds for Tanaka this weekend have him as a big -900 betting favorite after opening up as only a -370 favorite. This means that the public is betting heavily on him or an undisclosed reason that made oddsmakers change the line. You can also get Tanaka to win by KO at +188 and by decision at -102.
Bacasegua is coming in as the +550 underdog this weekend. You can get him to shock the world with a KO win at +920 and by decision at +700.
Betting Preview
Kosei Tanaka
Tanaka is a 28-year-old three-division world champion from Japan with a professional boxing record of 19-1 with 11 wins by KO under his belt. Before turning professional, he was a very successful youth amateur with a record of 46-5. Also he got a silver medal at the 2013 Asian Youth Championships.
Boxing fighters like Tanaka, for instance, are sometimes overlooked due to one loss. In his case, it was the only blemish on his record when he got KO’d by the great Kazuto Ioka in 2020. Now, Tanaka is coming into this weekend as a 5’5” orthodox boxer with a 63” reach. He has a 58% KO rate and he completed 161 rounds in his professional career, winning world titles across three weight divisions–going for his fourth this weekend.
Christian Bacasegua Rangel
Bacasegua is a Mexican professional boxer with a 22-4-2 record and 9 wins by KO. He is currently riding the momentum of a 9-fight winning streak. With half of Bacasegua’s KOs coming in his last 10 fights.
Bacasegua is a pretty unknown fighter globally and doesn’t have his height or reach listed anywhere. He fights out of the orthodox stance and has a 41% KO rate. He has been stopped once in his career and has completed 147 rounds since turning professional in 2015.
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