Luis Alberto Lopez vs Reiya Abe Odds, AI Picks, and AI Prediction
TopRank Boxing is back this weekend from New York with a fun card with the co-feature being an IBF world featherweight title fight between Luis Alberto Lopez and Reiya Abe. This is a great fight for true boxing fans around the world to enjoy.
This Lopez vs. Abe bout is for a world title and Abe has never fought at this stage, or even outside of his home country of Japan. Lopez is used to traveling the world and taking fights from opponents in their home country, how will this neutral site play out for him?
Let’s talk about the Lopez vs. Reiya prediction by breaking down this fight stylistically and looking deeper than just the analytics that most computer boxing picks use to give you betting picks.
Game Information
LUIS ALBERTO LOPEZ vs REIYA ABE |
Location of the Game: Turning Stone Resort and Casino, Verona, New York, United States |
Date and Time: March 02, 2024 – 10 PM ET estimated ring walk |
Reason: IBF World Featherweight Championship bout |
How to watch: ESPN+ |
AI Betting Picks
ODDS | AI BETTING PICKS |
OVER/UNDER | Over 10.5 rounds (-175) |
MONEYLINE | Luis Alberto Lopez (-650) |
The fun part of making this Lopez vs. Abe prediction is watching the styles of these two fighters. They will clash hard on Saturday night in the ring and here’s why:
Lopez is one of the most unorthodox boxers in the world right now at this level. He floats into range with his chin in the air, throws wild hooks from awkward angles without losing balance, and every technique he throws isn’t exactly technically sound, but they work.
Abe is going to battle more of the psychological challenges than anything. He’s making his first appearance outside of Japan and it’s for a world title. Lopez has lost to a southpaw before, so that will be an interesting factor to keep an eye on during the fight since Abe is a southpaw as well.
Abe is going to want to box from the outside and try catching Lopez coming into range with his chin in the air. He needs to stay disciplined and use his fundamentally sound work against Lopez.
After all of this tape study, the official Lopez vs Abe prediction is that Lopez will win by KO/TKO. This is a chance to get some value on your pick outside of the money line and take an appropriate risk.
Kiko Martinez was hurting Abe to the body and that seems like a crack in the armor of the Japanese challenger. It will be very difficult to catch Lopez because of the unpredictability he comes with.
Lopez vs Abe Prediction Odds
FIGHTER | MONEYLINE | OVER/UNDER |
LUIS ALBERTO LOPEZ | -900 | O 10.5 |
REIYA ABE | +550 | U 10.5 |
Starting with the available boxing odds, Lopez is coming in as the -900 betting favorite this weekend. You can bet on him to win by KO at +168 and by decision at -102. He has six KO wins out of his last ten bouts.
The underdog of the weekend is Abe at +550 odds. Abe’s bouts are mostly decisions, but you can take him to win by KO at +1200 odds or by decision at +750.
Other interesting odds for these boxing fighters this weekend include this fight being favored to go the distance at -172, and the over/under being set at 10.5 rounds with the o10.5 line favored at -235.
Betting Preview
Luis Alberto Lopez
Lopez is a Mexican boxer with a 29-2 record and 16 wins coming by KO as well. He is 30 years old and has held the IBF title since 2022, looking to defend it for a third time this weekend. He has won 12 fights in a row since losing to Ruben Villa in 2019.
“El Venado” is a 5’4” orthodox fighter with a 66 ½” reach. Lopez KOs 55% of his opponents and has never been stopped before. Since making his debut in 2015, he has completed 175 professional rounds.
Reiya Abe
Abe is a 25-3-1 Japanese boxer with 10 KO victories so far at the age of 30. He has held the WBO Asia-Pacific title since 2022 when he beat a tough Hinata Maruta via unanimous decision. He is coming off a massive win in a title eliminator against former two-time world champion Kiko Martinez.
Abe is a 5’8” southpaw with a 68” reach. He knocks out 40% of his opponents but hasn’t scored a KO in his last three fights. He has never been stopped in the ring before and has completed 180 rounds since his professional debut in 2013.
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