Takuma Inoue vs Jerwin Ancajas Odds, AI Picks, and AI Prediction
Another boxing event in Japan is for this Saturday and a co-headlining fight is this WBA bantamweight world title match between Takuma Inoue and Jerwin Ancajas. Inoue is defending the title he earned after his older brother, Naoya, vacated.
This Inoue vs. Ancajas bout has all the makings to be the Fight of the Night on Saturday in front of a packed venue. Computer boxing picks tend to miss some key factors and information about a matchup, so we will look closer at some important nuances and talk about how this fight might play out.
For the official Inoue vs. Ancajas prediction, make sure you read along and learn more about both of these fighters’ careers and what they will bring to the ring from a stylistic standpoint.
Game Information
| TAKUMA INOUE vs JERWIN ANCAJAS |
| Location of the Game: Kokugikan, Tokyo, Japan |
| Date and Time: February 24, 2024 – 6:15 AM ET estimated ring walk |
| Reason: WBA World Bantamweight Championship Title Bout |
| How to watch: ESPN+ |
AI Betting Picks
| ODDS | AI BETTING PICKS |
| OVER/UNDER | Over 10.5 rounds (-549) |
| MONEYLINE | Takuma Inoue (-250) |
After a lot of careful consideration picking between these two elite boxing fighters from great gyms and boxing communities, the official Inoue vs Ancajas prediction is Inoue will get his hand raised in a very close, debatable decision.
It’s hard to admit, but the factors going into this fight are needed to make the smartest bet. This boxing match will be in Japan, and the crowd noise with the judges will automatically favor Inoue in a close fight.
To win this one, Ancajas will need to score a knockdown, probably multiple, to get the nod on the scorecards. One interesting storyline is the fact that Inoue is recovering from a serious rib injury.
The durability of Inoue is a question mark, having suffered rib injuries and hand injuries in the past. But we don’t know how Ancajas will look in the ring physically compared to Inoue, even though he has been the more physical man in matchups in the super flyweight division.
This is a very close fight that could go multiple ways, especially with the body-punching ability of Ancajas. The smart bet is with Inoue, but you could definitely hedge your bet by throwing a little dough on Ancajas to win.
Let’s not take anything away from Inoue, though. He will win this fight due to his speed advantage over Ancajas and the smart gameplan his corner will clearly have for him to implement in the ring.
Inoue vs Ancajas Prediction Odds
| FIGHTER | MONEYLINE | OVER/UNDER |
| TAKUMA INOUE | -215 | O 10.5 |
| JERWIN ANCAJAS | +175 | U 10.5 |
Inoue is looking to defend his belt as a -215 betting favorite going into this fight with a former champion. He has odds of +600 to win by KO and -163 to win a decision. These odds are tough to bet on even if your Inoue vs. Ancajas prediction favors the champion–you’ll need to look for better betting options for more value than his money line.
Ancajas is the +175 underdog as the challenger this weekend. He is currently at +600 odds to win by KO as well, along with +400 odds to win by decision. From recent history, we know that it’s very hard for someone to go to Japan and win a close decision over a Japanese champion.
Some other key boxing odds to look at are the over/under of 10.5 rounds. With the over in favor, and this fight also favored to go to a decision at -450. This is one of those matchups where a draw is in the cards, coming in at +1600 odds.
Betting Preview
Takuma Inoue
Inoue is a Japanese boxing world champion who currently holds the WBA bantamweight title. Inoue’s record is 18-1 with 4 knockouts. After having a very successful amateur career in Japan, he made his professional debut in 2013 after barely turning 18 years old. He won The Ring Prospect of the Year award in 2015 and has since completed a total of 170 professional rounds.
Inoue is the #8 bantamweight fighter according to The Ring and is at 5’5” with a reach of 64”. He boxes in an orthodox stance and shows a lot of exciting theatrics in the ring when he performs, especially in front of a home crowd.
Jerwin Ancajas
Ancajas is a Filipino professional boxer and former IBF super flyweight world champion from 2016 to 2022. Before turning professional, he earned himself a 90-5 amateur record and made his debut at 17 years old in 2009–since completing a whopping 248 rounds at the professional level.
Ancajas’ stats show that he is a power puncher; having a KO rate of 68% at 112-118 lbs, which is rare at that size. He has also never been stopped despite losing three times, accumulating a professional record of 34-3-2 with 23 knockouts. He’s at 5’6” and has a reach of 66.5” while fighting out of the southpaw stance.
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