William Zepeda vs Maxi Hughes Prediction, Odds, AI Picks and Analysis
The lightweight division is back in the spotlight this weekend as William Zepeda and Maxi Hughes headline a card in Las Vegas, battling it out to see one of them earn a title shot.
We are going to be able to make a Zepeda vs Hughes prediction by looking closely at all aspects of this matchup. We will discuss William Zepeda’s record, Maxi Hughes’ stats, the betting lines, and more to make the best betting pick possible.
Read further for an in-depth breakdown of how this fight looks on paper, how the styles of each man will clash in the ring, and the most likely way this title eliminator bout will play out.
Bout Information
| WILLIAM ZEPEDA vs MAXI HUGHES |
| Location of the Game: The Chelsea, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States |
| Date and Time: March 16, 2024 – 11:15 PM ET estimated ring walk |
| Reason: IBF and WBA lightweight title-eliminator bout |
| How to watch: DAZN |
AI Betting Picks
| ODDS | AI BETTING PICKS |
| OVER/UNDER | Over 8.5 rounds (+102) |
| MONEYLINE | William Zepeda (-2000) |
This is a pretty straightforward matchup. Zepeda will do what he does best; fight with pressure and land devastating shots to the body and head until his opponent doesn’t want to take it anymore.
Hughes is a crafty boxer with a lot of experience. He can move around the ring very well and outbox opponents with counters and setting up traps. Zepeda will need to cut off the ring to have success this weekend, not follow Hughes around the place like Kambosos did last summer.
With this being said, the official Zepeda vs Hughes prediction is that Zepeda will break Hughes in the later rounds and get a 10th-round stoppage. It’s hard counting Hughes out right now but he just doesn’t have the tools to beat Zepeda.
The nod to the heart and skill of Hughes is betting on him to last more than 8.5 rounds and maybe win a round or two in the process, as the best boxing AI picks for the bout.
Zepeda vs Hughes Prediction Odds
| FIGHTER | MONEYLINE | OVER/UNDER |
| WILLIAM ZEPEDA | -2000 | O 8.5 |
| MAXI HUGHES | +850 | U 8.5 |
Starting with the available boxing odds for this bout, Zepeda is going into this weekend as the big -2000 betting favorite. You can bet on him to win by KO at -380 odds and by decision at +550. The decision line is the most interesting because you are betting on whether or not Hughes can survive 12 rounds, it seems.
Hughes is coming in as the +850 underdog in this one, even though he is coming off a performance against Kambosos where it looked like he was the better boxer. You can get him at +2000 to win by KO and at +950 to win by decision–which is the most likely option if you are betting on Hughes this weekend.
Other interesting boxing odds are the over/under of 8.5 rounds and this fight going to a decision at +300. A lot of lightweight bouts go to a decision, but Zepeda is a true KO specialist. These are important lines to know after you hear what the Zepeda vs Hughes prediction is.
Betting Preview
William Zepeda
Zepeda is a Mexican boxer with a 29-0 record and has 25 KOs under his belt as well. Now at 27 years old, he is fighting for a world title shot. He has held the WBA Continental Americas belt since 2021 and is the #1 lightweight contender in the WBC and WBA, #6 in the IBF, and #3 in the WBO.
Zepeda is a 5’9” southpaw with a 69 ½” reach. With his 25 KO wins, he holds a solid 86% KO rate and has completed 131 professional rounds since making his debut in 2015. He has finished the fight inside the distance in 17 out of his last 20 appearances inside the ring.
Maxi Hughes
Hughes is a British boxer with a 26-6-2 professional record, along with only 5 wins by KO. The 34-year-old is an experienced regional fighter who has made a name for himself by fighting through the UK ranks, coming back from losses, and still is only one fight away from a world title shot. He’s a former IBO lightweight champion, British lightweight champion, International lightweight champion, and European lightweight champion, along with many more belts.
Hughes is a 5’7” southpaw boxer with a 67” reach. He has only a 19% KO rate and has been stopped twice in the ring. He’s coming off a “morale victory” if you will, against a world-level operator in Kambosos as well. Hughes will have the experience advantage in this one, completing 243 professional rounds since his debut in 2010.
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