Braves v Phillies. Odds, AI Picks, and a History on the Brink of Repetition
Just 362 days ago, the Braves squared off against the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. The series tilted 2-1 in the Phillies’ favor. Philadelphia clinched a victory with an 8-3 score, propelling them to the National League Championship Series. Tonight, in the Braves v Phillies Game 4, this history seems on the cusp of repeating – almost eerily so.
At the same stadium, both teams meet again for Game 4. The Phillies lead 2-1, mirroring last year. The Game 3 scores of both series showcase a striking similarity: a difference of eight runs (9-1 in 2022 and 10-2 this year).
Braves v Phillies Betting Odds
| TEAM | RUN LINE | MONEYLINE | OVER/UNDER | TEAM TOTAL |
| BRAVES S. Strider (R) | -1.5 | -148 | O 8.5 | 4.5 |
| PHILLIES R. Suarez (L) | +1.5 | +133 | U 8.5 | 3.5 |
Braves vs Phillies AI Predictions and SBAI Picks
| TEAM | AI PICKS | SBAI PICKS | |||
| BRAVES | 4.8 Runs | 9.2 Runs | SPREAD PHI +1.5 | MONEYLINE ATL -150 | TOTAL O 8.5 |
| PHILLIES | 4.4 Runs | ||||
AI Prediction: Score (Atlanta 5-4 Philadelphia)
SBAI Picks: (Run Line: Phillies +1.5, Moneyline: Braves -125, Total: Over 8.5)
Game Information
| ATLANTA BRAVES vs PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES |
| Location of the Game: Citizens Game Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania |
| Date and Time: October 12th, 2023. 8:07 PM ET |
| Reason: 2023 National League Divisional Series Game 4 |
| How to watch: TBS |
Braves Aim to Break the Pattern
Facing numerous challenges, the Atlanta Braves seem against all odds tonight. Historical data favors them, but previous playoff outcomes and the venue are stacked against them. Still, they ended the regular MLB season impressively with a 104-58 record.
Spencer Strider, starting tonight, pitched in both the previous year’s Game 3 and this year’s Divisional Series Game 1. Despite initial struggles, he showed improvement, giving Atlanta hope for a Game 5 home match. Strider’s stellar 20-5 regular season record assures fans of his capabilities. Despite the challenges, betting odds favor the Braves (Run Line -1.5, Moneyline -148, and Team Total 4.5).
Phillies Eye Championship Series Ticket
The Philadelphia Phillies are tantalizingly close to the National League Championship Series.
Pennsylvania’s pride stands strong with a 2-1 series lead, playing at home, and turning Citizens Bank Park into a fortress. Tonight’s starting pitcher, Ranger Suarez, also started Game 1 in Georgia, which the Phillies won 3-0. Despite a 4-6 regular season record, this will be Suarez’s second playoff game and seventh in the postseason. Betting odds place the Phillies as the underdogs (Run Line +1.5, Moneyline +133, and Team Total 3.5).
Home/Away Dynamics
We touched upon the historical face-offs previously. Focusing on home/away performances, the Phillies have won 22 of their 33 playoff games at Citizens Bank Park since its 2004 opening, boasting a 66% success rate. Excluding the World Series against the Houston Astros, Philadelphia has yet to lose a National League playoff game since October 7th, 2011, against the St. Louis Cardinals.
On the flip side, the Braves have a less impressive away record. Since 2000 (excluding the unique 2020 season), they’ve played 34 away games, winning 12 and losing 22, marking a 35% win rate. October 20th, 2021, against the Los Angeles Dodgers, was the last victory of the Braves outside Atlanta.
Tonight decides whether the Phillies recreate history or the Braves overturn what seems inevitable. One thing’s certain: tonight’s game in Philadelphia will be a postseason highlight.
