AC Milan vs AS Roma Prediction, AI Picks, Betting Odds and Game Analysis (April 11th 2024)

An all-Italian showdown is set for the UEL schedule at the quarterfinal stage this week, as AC Milan looks to reach a second consecutive European semi-final. AS Roma has also achieved major European success in recent history after winning the Conference League a couple of seasons ago.
There will be no room for error in this round of UEL matchups for both of these sides on Thursday, as the first leg could be crucial in determining the side that progresses through to the next round. You can find the UEL odds and our Milan vs Roma prediction here.
Game Information
AC MILAN vs AS ROMA |
Location of the Game: San Siro, Milan, Italy |
Date and Time: Thursday, April 11, 2024. 3:00 PM ET |
Reason: 2023-2024 UEFA Europa League Quarterfinals 1st leg |
How to watch: Paramount+ |
Milan vs Roma Pick and Prediction
ODDS | AI PICKS |
MONEYLINE | Milan -125 |
It will be testing to make a Milan vs Roma prediction this week, as very little has separated these teams in terms of form in recent weeks. However, the fact that the Milan stats show that they are unbeaten in their last nine matches against AS Roma can’t be overstated.
That incredibly progressive run of form is the standout trend, and it is also hard to overlook the UEL team stats that show Roma have won just twice in their last 14 matches on the road across all major European competitions.
Milan vs Roma Prediction Odds
TEAM | ODDS TO QUALIFY | MONEYLINE | HANDICAP | OVER/UNDER |
MILAN | -175 | -125 | -0.5 | O 2.5 |
ROMA | +135 | +370 | +0.5 | U 2.5 |
DRAW | +255 |
A home win will be a popular Milan vs Roma prediction at -125 this week. A draw in this Milan vs Roma matchup is at +255, with the away victory for Roma available at +370.
AC Milan vs AS Roma Analysis
AC Milan Preview
It has been a largely positive season for AC Milan this term, but the Europa League will present the Italian giants with their best opportunity to end the campaign with a major trophy.
Milan would have been hoping to be still involved in the Champions League at this stage, but they could only finish third in the standings, which saw them drop into the Europa League at the start of this year.
But, Milan have quickly shown their quality in this competition after scoring 12 goals across their ties against Rennes and Slavia Prague in the previous two rounds. Milan will now be looking to reach a second straight European semi-final after reaching the last four of the Champions League last term.
Since entering the Europa League, the UEL player stats show that Milan have registered more shots on target and scored more goals than any other team in the competition.
AS Roma Preview
A victory for Roma in this tie will rank among the unlikely UEL computer picks. The Italian side had to do things the hard way in the tournament this year after finishing second in the UEL standings before the turn of the year.
That meant that they needed to come through a knockout playoff against Feyenoord in February, eventually securing progression following a penalty shootout. However, they were far more dominant in their previous match on the Roma schedule after recording a 4-1 aggregate success over Brighton.
Roma’s away record in Europe is one of the most concerning factors that could negatively impact their chances of making it through to the next round this season.
The Italian giants have recorded just two victories from their last 14 matches on the road across all European competitions. Meanwhile, they are without a win in their last eight knockout ties where they played on the road. However, they have a fully fit squad this week, with no UEL injuries to report.
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