Kentucky Derby Prediction, AI Picks, Betting Odds (May 4th)
One of the biggest events on the horse racing schedule takes place this weekend, as the 150th Kentucky Derby is staged at Churchill Downs. A field of horses aged three will compete over 1 ¼ miles, with all runners targeting a place in the history books. It is a typically open renewal of the race, meaning that there is value when siding with Kentucky horses at bigger prices.
However, you can find out more about the Kentucky Derby schedule, and find out Kentucky Derby prediction below.
Race Information
| 2024 KENTUCKY DERBY |
| Location of the Game: Churchill Downs, Louisville, Kentucky |
| Date and Time: Saturday, May 4, 2024. 6:57 PM ET |
| Reason: 150th Kentucky Derby |
| How to watch: NBC |
Kentucky Derby Pick and Prediction
| ODDS | AI PICKS |
| MONEYLINE | Fierceness +186 |
Despite being drawn in the dreaded stall 17, Fierceness will be a popular Kentucky Derby prediction this weekend. The three-year-old for Todd Pletcher landed the G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile in impressive fashion at the end of last term, and posted a high speed figure when demolishing the field in the G1 Florida Derby on his previous outing.
Catching Freedom and Honor Marie both caught the eye when finishing first and second in the G2 Louisiana Derby on their previous outings, and they’ll be solid selections in exotics. Meanwhile, Just Steel could be a huge outsider with a great deal of upside after battling for second in the G1 Arkansas Derby behind Muth, who would have likely been battling for favouritism in the Kentucky Derby odds.
Kentucky Derby Odds
| NAME | ODDS |
| Fierceness | +250 |
| Sierra Leone | +300 |
| Forever Young | +875 |
| Catching Freedom | +900 |
| Just A Touch | +1100 |
| Honor Marie | +1800 |
| Encino | +1900 |
| Dornoch | +2000 |
| Stronghold | +2000 |
| Mystik Dan | +2200 |
| Just Steel | +2200 |
| Resilience | +2400 |
| Domestic Product | +2500 |
| Track Phantom | +2700 |
| Endlessly | +2800 |
| TO Password | +3500 |
| Society Man | +3600 |
| Catalytic | +4000 |
| West Saratoga | +4500 |
| Grand Mo The First | +5000 |
The odds make for important reading before making Kentucky Derby AI picks. Fierceness is solid at the top of the betting at +250, with Sierra Leone priced up at +300. Japanese raider Forever Young is available at +875, with Catching Freedom priced up at +900.
Kentucky Derby Leading Contenders
Fierceness
Todd Pletcher saddles Fierceness in the Derby this weekend. One of the most experience Kentucky jockeys in the form of John Velazquez will take the ride. The three-year-old has been impressive throughout his career, landing notable victories in the G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile and G1 Florida Derby.
Sierra Leone
Sierra Leone could be a solid Kentucky Derby prediction this weekend. The runner trainer by Chad Brown has won on each of his two starts this season. His latest success came in the G1 Blue Grass, beating Just A Touch by a solid enough margin. However, the low draw could be a big detractor for fans of the three-year-old this weekend.
Forever Young
Forever Young is likely the runner that we know the smallest about ahead of the Derby. The horse trained by Yoshito Yahagi has won on all four career starts, and was very eye-catching when landing a competitive G1 UAE Derby in March. Despite Beyer figures being unavailable, it is widely believed that his run would have scored a rating of 100+. That would be enough to see him play a major role this weekend.
Honor Marie
D Whitworth Beckman trains Honor Marie, who shares an interesting form line with Catching Freedom. This runner finished behind his rival in the G2 Louisiana Derby at the end of March, but there is a belief that there could be more to come from him over the extended distance. It also isn’t a bad thing that Honor Marie already has winning experience at Churchill Downs after beating Real Men Violin by two lengths in the G2 Jockey Club Stakes.
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