New York Yankees vs Houston Astros Prediction, Odds, AI Picks and Betting Analysis
What a way to start the 2024 MLB regular season. One of the most recent classic battles in the American League will be played in Texas this afternoon when the 27-times World Series Champions, the New York Yankees, will take on the two-time World Champions, the Houston Astros. This Astros vs Yankees matchup is the most followed game for this Opening Day. Let’s see the Yankees vs Astros Prediction.
Despite finishing with a winning record, the Yankees missed out on the playoffs last season. They went 82-80, which put them in 8th place in the American League and 4th place in the AL East. Within their division, the Yankees went 22-30.
At home, New York was above .500 with a record of 42-39. On the road, they were just one game above .500 at 40-41. As the underdog, the Yankees went 29-35 last season.
In night games, the Yankees were below .500 at 51-53. Today, they are the underdog against the Astros with a moneyline of +128. Last season, they went 20-24 as the road underdog.
Last season, the Yankees were the underdog in 39.5% of their games, going 35-29 in those contests. Overall, they finished with a run line record of 79-83, including a mark of 44-37 on the road. In games they covered the run line, their average scoring margin was +3.3 runs per game compared to -3.4 runs per contest in games they did not cover the run line.
When looking at the Yankees’ over/under record from last season, they finished with a record of 71-81. On average, their games had an over/under line of 8.4 runs per game. In games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the over/under record was 24-25. Last season, 56.2% of their games finished with fewer than 8.5 runs.
Astros wants to begin the rod to get back the title
Coming off a season in which they were eliminated in the ALCS by the Rangers, the Astros finished with an overall record of 90-72. In the American League, they were 4th and 2nd in the AL West in the MLB standings. At home, Houston went 39-42, while going 51-30 on the road.
As the favorite, the Astros went 62-56 last season, compared to 28-16 as the underdog. In night games, Houston went 60-50, and overall, their series record was 27-20-4. In the ALCS, they lost to the Rangers by a 4-3 margin.
At home last season, the Astros had a run line record of 33-48, compared to 48-33 on the road. Their average run margin in games they won was +4.0, compared to -3.2 in games they lost. For the season, they had an average scoring margin of +0.8 runs per game. In games they covered the run line, their average scoring margin was +4.2 runs per game, compared to -2.6 runs per game in games they did not cover the run line. Last year, Houston was favored in 72.8% of their games, going 48-70 vs. the run line as the favorite.
Last season, the Astros had an over/under record of 84-73, and their games averaged a combined 9.4 runs per game. When their over/under line was set at 8.5 runs, the over/under record was 28-23. Overall, 53.7% of their games finished with more runs than 8.5 runs.
Game Information
| NEW YORK YANKEES vs HOUSTON ASTROS |
| Location of the Game: Minute Maid Park, Houston, Texas |
| Date and Time: Thursday, March 28th 4:10 ET |
| Reason: 2024 MLB Regular Season |
| How to watch: watchlivesports.co |
AI Predictions and Sport Betting AI Picks
These are the MLB Computer Picks for this MLB Schedule game:
| TEAM | PITCHER | 2023 RECORD | AI PICKS | Sport Betting AI PICKS | |||
| YANKEES | N. CORTES | 82-80 | 5 | 11 | RUN LINE NYY +1.5 |
MONEYLINE HOU -152 |
TOTAL OVER 8.5 |
| ASTROS | C. BURNES | 90-72 | 6 | ||||
- AI Picks: Houston Astros 6 – New York Yankees 5
- Sport Betting AI Picks: Run Line Yankees +1.5 -165 | ML Astros -152 | OVER 8.5 RUNS
Yankees vs Astros Prediction Odds
Next, we have the MLB odds for this MLB Matchup.
New York Yankees Game Analysis
Coming off a season in which he made 12 starts and finished with a record of 5-2, Nestor Cortes will be on the mound for the Yankees in their matchup against the Astros. Last season, Cortes made four quality starts and finished the year with an ERA of 4.97. In terms of his strikeout-to-walk ratio, Cortes finished the season at 3.4, while his walks per game average was 1.7. Overall, opponents hit .243 against Cortes last season, while his WHIP for the year was 1.25, according to the MLB player stats.
Last season, the Yankees were 24th in runs per game at 4.1. On the road, they were 29th in batting average, hitting just .221 away from home. Overall, the team was 8th in home runs, hitting 219 on the season. At home, they were 6th in isolated power (ISO) and averaged 4.0 runs per game.
The Yankees will be looking for Aaron Judge to continue his power surge from last season. Judge hit 37 home runs and drove in 75 runs. Gleyber Torres was second on the team in home runs last season with 25. Juan Soto is a new addition to the team and is coming off a season where he hit .275 and drove in 109 runs.
Houston Astros Game Analysis
Framber Valdez is coming off a season in which he made 31 starts for the Astros. His record was 12-11, and his ERA was 3.46. Valdez’s WHIP was 1.13, and he allowed a batting average of .225. He had two complete games and two shutouts, and his quality start total was 20. For the season, Valdez averaged 9.09 strikeouts per nine innings and 2.59 walks per nine innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio was 3.5.
Last season, the Astros were one of the best offenses in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game (5th). They were also one of the best teams at avoiding strikeouts, finishing 3rd in the league. On the road, Houston’s offense was even better, averaging 5.7 runs per game (3rd). Overall, the Astros were 4th in the league in batting average (.259) and 6th in slugging percentage (.437), according to the MLB team stats.
The Astros will be looking to Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker to provide power in the lineup this season. Alvarez hit 31 home runs last season and finished with a slugging percentage of .583. Tucker drove in 112 runs and finished with a slugging percentage of .517. Victor Caratini is a new addition to the team and last season hit .259 and hit 7 home runs.
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