Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Odds, Computer Picks, and Betting Prediction

At 7:30 ET, the Denver Nuggets (-198) will travel to Miami to take on the Miami Heat (+163) in a 2023 NBA Finals rematch. The Nuggets favor by 5 points, and the over/under line is at 214.5.
Denver is on a 3-game win streak and is 2nd in the Western Conference with a record of 45-20. Miami is currently on a 3-game losing streak and is 8th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 35-29, according to the NBA standings. This Denver vs Miami will be at the Kaseya Center and can be seen on ESPN.
Game Information
DENVER NUGGETS vs MIAMI HEAT |
Location of the Game: Kaseya Center, Miami, Florida |
Date and Time: Wednesday, March 13th 7:30pm ET |
Reason: 2023-2024 NBA Regular Season |
How to watch: watchlivesports.co |
AI Predictions and Sport Betting AI Picks
These are the NBA Computer Picks for tonight’s NBA Schedule game:
TEAM | RECORD | AI PICKS | Sport Betting AI PICKS | |||
NUGGETS | 42-23 | 111 | 224 | SPREAD MIA +5 |
MONEYLINE MIA +163 |
TOTAL UNDER 237 |
HEAT | 35-29 | 113 |
AI Picks: Miami Heat 113 – Denver Nuggets 111
Sport Betting AI Picks: ATS Heat +5 | ML Heat +163 | OVER 214.5
Nuggetss vs Heat Odds
Next, we have the NBA odds for this NBA Matchup.
Betting Preview
Denver Nuggets
The Nuggets are currently 2nd in the Western Conference with a record of 45-20. In the West, they are 25-14 and 6-5 against other teams in the Northwest Division.
On the road, the Nuggets are 18-14 this season and have won three straight games. Their straight-up record as the favorite this season is 41-14, and they favored in 55 of their 65 games.
In terms of their ATS record, the Nuggets are 29-34 overall and 13-18 on the road. They went 24-29 vs. the spread as the favorite.
Denver’s O/U record for the season is 25-38-2, and the over has hit in each of their last three games. On average, their games have finished with 225.7 points, and today’s O/U line is set at 214.5.
In their most recent game, the Nuggets beat the Raptors by a score of 125-119. They were favored by 17 points going into the game. Also, the combined scoring total of 244 points was well above the O/U line of 231.
Heading into their matchup with the Miami Heat, the Nuggets are ranked 15th in the NBA in scoring at 115 points per game. However, their road offense has been less productive, averaging 111 points per contest.
Denver’s offense is efficient inside the arc, as they are 2nd in the league in two-point field goals. Overall, they are shooting 49% from the field, which is 4th in the NBA. In terms of pace, the Nuggets are 28th in the league at 96.3 possessions per game.
When it comes to three-point shooting, Denver is 27th in made threes at 11.5 per game. They have also struggled at the free-throw line, making just 15.3 free throws per contest (29th).
So far this season, the Denver Nuggets are giving up 110.7 points per game, which is 7th in the NBA. In their last five games, they have allowed 116 points per game, which is 21st in the league during that stretch.
One interesting stat is that opponents have made fewer threes than their season average in 69.2% of games vs. the Nuggets. Overall, Denver is 2nd in the NBA in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 36.1%.
Overall, the Nuggets are 8th in field goal percentage allowed at 46.7% and 5th in two-point shooting percentage allowed at 52.6%, according to the NBA team stats.
Miami Heat
Miami has lost three straight games and is currently 8th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 35-29. Also, In the Southeast Division, they are 2nd.
As the underdog, Miami has gone 10-18 this season and is 15-13 against the spread as the underdog. Today, they are getting 5 points at home. On average, Miami has been the underdog in 28 of their games.
The Heat’s O/U record for the season is 24-40, and their games have averaged 220.4 points per game. In their last three games, the under has hit.
In their last game, Miami lost to the Wizards by a score of 110-108. The O/U line for that game was 228.5, and Miami favors by 11.5 points going into the game.
On the season, Miami has an ATS record of 30-31, including a 12-19 record at home. In their last three games, they have not covered the spread at home.
As a team, the Heat are 27th in the NBA in scoring at 110.5 points per game. At home, they are averaging 113.5 points per game.
Miami is 21st in the league in field goal percentage at 46%. They are 6th in three-point shooting at 37%.
So far this season, the Heat have outscored the NBA scoring average in 39.1% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 29th in the league.
When it comes to defense, the Miami Heat have been one of the best teams in the league this season. They are currently 6th in the NBA in points allowed per game at 109.9. Also, at home, they have been even better, allowing just 113.0 points per game, which is 15th in the league.
One area where the Heat have excelled defensively is at the three-point line. On the season, they are 21st in three-point percentage allowed at 36.3%. However, opponents have made fewer threes than their season average in 45.3% of their games vs. Miami.
Overall, opponents scored less than their season average in 71.9% of games vs. the Heat. In terms of rebounds, Miami is 24th in the league at 42.1 rebounds per game and also, they are 18th in defensive rebounds.
Injured players
According to the NBA Injury Report, for the current champions, Vlatko Cancar (Knee) is out. Meanwhile, for the Eastern Conference champions, Kevin Love (Heel), Josh Richardson (Shoulder) and Tyler Herro (Foot) are out. Jimmy Butler (Illness) could play tonight, therefore, he could increase its NBA player stats.
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