Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Betting Odds, AI Picks and Analysis for Game 5 East 1st Round (May 1st)
Payback, sooner or later, will be granted. And the Boston Celtics made it against the Miami Heat. The Regular Season’s best team defeated the last Eastern Conference champions by 118-84, qualifying for the Eastern Conference semifinals. Here is the recap:
The following AI Picks of this matchup were correct: Moneyline and Totals.
The Boston Celtics cruised to an NBA score of 102-88 victory over the Miami Heat on Tuesday night on Game 4 for the Eastern Conference First Round of the NBA playoffs. The Celtics jumped out to a big lead early and never looked back, outscoring the Heat 34-24 in the first quarter and holding them to just 12 points in the second. Let’s see the Heat vs Celtics odds below.
- Key Players:
- Derrick White led the Celtics with a game-high 38 points, including knocking down 8 three-pointers.
- Jayson Tatum chipped in with 20 points and 11 rebounds.
- Bam Adebayo had a strong performance for the Heat, finishing with 25 points and 17 rebounds.
- Betting Breakdown:
- The Celtics were favored by 10.5 points and easily covered the spread.
- The total points scored fell short of the over/under line of 204.5 points by 14.5 points.
- Looking Ahead:
- Both teams have trends to consider for upcoming games.
- The Heat will look to bounce back after two straight losses where the total points scored came in under the projected line.
- The Celtics are on a two-game winning streak as favorites and have a strong home-court advantage.
- Team Stats:
- Miami currently sits as the 8th seed in the Eastern Conference with a record of 46-36.
- Boston holds the top spot in the East with a dominant 64-18 record.
Game Information
| MIAMI HEAT vs BOSTON CELTICS |
| Location of the Game: TD Garden, Boston, Massachusetts |
| Date and Time: Wednesday, May 1st 7:30 ET |
| Reason: 2024 NBA Eastern Conference Play-off First Round Game 5 |
| How to watch: watchlivesports.co |
AI Predictions and Sport Betting AI Picks
These are the NBA Computer Picks for tonight’s NBA Schedule game:
| TEAM | SERIES | AI PICKS | Sport Betting AI PICKS | |||
| Heat | 1 | 111 | 225 | SPREAD MIA +13.5 |
MONEYLINE BOS -1101 |
TOTAL OVER 198.5 |
| Celtics | 3 | 114 | ||||
- AI Picks: Boston Celtics 114 – Miami Heat 111
- Sport Betting AI Picks: ATS Heat +13.5 | ML Celtics -1101 | OVER 198.5
Heat vs Celtics Odds
Next, we have the NBA odds for this NBA Matchup.
Miami Heat Game Analysis
The Miami Heat enter tonight’s game with a strong defensive identity but an inconsistent offense. Here’s a breakdown:
Offense Lags
- The Heat rank low in scoring, averaging 110.1 points per game (27th in the NBA).
- On the road, their scoring dips further to 107.8 points per game.
- Miami struggles with pace, averaging a slow 95.8 possessions per game.
Key Players Out
- Jimmy Butler (20.8 ppg) and Terry Rozier (19.8 ppg) are sidelined tonight.
- Rozier’s shooting provides a spark (36.3% from three), while Butler is even more efficient (41.4% from three).
- Josh Richardson (Shoulder – Out), Jaime Jaquez Jr. (Hip – Out) are also out, according to the NBA Injury Report.
Bright Spots Emerge
- Bam Adebayo has been productive lately, averaging 20.6 points, 9.2 rebounds, and 3.4 assists over his last five games.
- Tyler Herro is finding his rhythm, averaging 18.6 points per game with a strong 40.9% three-point shooting clip in the last five games.
Defensive Stalwarts
- Miami boasts a top-ranked defense, allowing only 108.0 points per game (3rd in the NBA).
- Their road defense is even better, ranked 1st in the league at 106.6 points allowed per game.
- The Heat have tightened up recently, surrendering just 102.4 points per game over their last five contests.
Limiting Free Throws
One key to Miami’s defensive success is limiting free throw attempts. They allow the 3rd fewest free throws made per game in the NBA (19.2).
Boston Celtics Game Analysis
They’re the second-highest scoring team in the NBA, averaging over 120 points per game. At home, they’re even better, putting up a whopping 122.4 points per contest.
What’s their secret?
According to the NBA team stats, Boston leads the league in both attempts (42.5 per game) and made threes (16.5 per game). Incredibly, they’re also the second-most accurate team from beyond the arc, shooting a sizzling 38%.
A dynamic duo leads the way.
Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown are averaging 26.9 and 23.0 points per game, respectively, according to the NBA player stats. Both are knocking down threes at a high clip (Tatum at 37.6%, Brown at 35.4%). Derrick White has been on a tear lately, averaging 21.8 points over his last four games while shooting lights-out (56.9% from the field, 47.1% from three).
Defense wins championships, and the Celtics are defensive juggernauts.
They rank 5th in the league, allowing only 108.5 points per game. At home, they’re even stingier, holding opponents to a league-4th best 107.7 points per contest.
How do they do it?
Rim protection is key. Boston leads the NBA in blocked shots per game (a whopping 6.6!), and they avoid giving away easy points by ranking 29th in personal fouls.
Three-point defense is a work in progress.
The Celtics allow opponents to shoot 35% from three (average), but they limit attempts effectively, ranking 23rd in the league by giving up only 36.6 three-point attempts per game.
- Injuries: Kristaps Porzingis is out with a calf injury.
Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Head-to-Head
In the last three games that the Celtics have hosted the Heat, they are a perfect 3-0. In the previous three head-head to matchups between the Heat and Celtics, the Celtics have gone 2-1 vs. the spread with an average scoring differential of 8 points per game.
The last three times that the Celtics have hosted the Heat, the over/under record is 0-3 with the teams combining for an average of 216 points. The over/under record in their last three overall matchups is 1-2.
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