Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Betting Odds, AI Picks and Analysis (April 24th)
The Miami Heat face an uphill battle as they take on the Eastern Conference leading Boston Celtics in a rematch! The Celtics cruised to a convincing victory in their last meeting, but can the Heat avenge their loss on their home court? Dive into our Heat vs Celtics predictions, betting insights, AI picks, key player stats, and matchup analysis to make informed wagers on this pivotal NBA clash!
Last Meeting: The Boston Celtics dominated the Miami Heat in their most recent matchup, cruising to a 114-94 victory and easily covering the 14.5-point spread. The game also stayed under the over/under line (210.5 points) with a combined score of 208 points. Boston took control in the 3rd quarter, outscoring Miami 31-14. Jayson Tatum led the Celtics with a triple-double (23 points, 10 rebounds, 10 assists), while Bam Adebayo paced the Heat with 24 points.
Betting Trends:
- Celtics Favored Again: The Celtics enter this game as heavy favorites once more, with a 14.5-point spread advantage. Historically, they’ve fared well as favorites, compiling a winning record (63-16) and covering the spread in most of those games (40-35 at home).
- Heat Struggles as Underdogs: The Heat will be looking to snap a five-game losing streak as underdogs. They hold a losing record (11-25) and have been outscored by an average of 3.7 points per game in such situations.
- Scoring Trends: The last meeting between these teams stayed under the over/under line, and today’s line (202.5 points) is lower than both teams’ season averages.
Game Information
Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics |
Location of the Game: TD Garden, Boston |
Date and Time: Wednesday, April 24th 7:00 ET |
Reason: 2024 NBA Eastern Conference Play-off |
How to watch: watchlivesports.co |
AI Predictions and Sport Betting AI Picks
These are the NBA Computer Picks for tonight’s NBA Schedule game:
TEAM | SERIES | AI PICKS | Sport Betting AI PICKS | |||
Celtics | 1 | 115 | 228 | SPREAD MIA +14.5 |
MONEYLINE BOS -1277 |
TOTAL OVER 202.5 |
Heat | 0 | 113 |
- AI Picks: Boston Celtics 115 – Miami Heat 113
- Sport Betting AI Picks: ATS Pacers +1 | ML Pacers -104 | OVER 220.5
Miami Heat vs Celtics Predictions and Odds
Next, we have the NBA odds for this NBA Matchup.
Miami Heat Game Analysis
- Missing Key Players: The Heat will be without key contributors Jimmy Butler (averaging 20.8 points per game) and Terry Rozier (averaging 19.8 points and 5.6 assists per game) due to injuries. While Tyler Herro has stepped up lately, averaging 18.8 points, 7 assists, and 5 rebounds over his last five games, the Heat’s offense will be challenged.
- Low-Scoring But Strong Defense: According to the NBA Team Stats despite ranking near the bottom of the league in scoring (110.1 points per game overall and 107.7 points per game on the road), the Heat excel on defense. They boast the 4th best defense in the NBA, allowing a mere 108.2 points per game overall. This defensive dominance is even more evident on the road, where they hold opponents to a league-leading 106.7 points per contest. Their success stems from limiting opponents’ three-point shooting (35.4% allowed, 19th in the NBA) and two-point attempts (50.8% allowed inside the arc over their last five games, ranking 8th in the league).
Injury Report:
According to the NBA Injury Report
- Jimmy Butler (Knee – Out)
- Terry Rozier (Neck – Out)
Boston Celtics Game Analysis
- Offensive Juggernaut: The Celtics boast the NBA’s 2nd most potent offense, averaging a whopping 120.6 points per game overall. This offensive firepower is even more evident at home, where they rack up an impressive 122.9 points per contest (also 2nd in the league). They lead the league in three-point attempts (42.5 per game) and rank among the elite in three-point shooting accuracy (48%).
- Recent Shooting Slump: Accroding to the NBA player stats Payton Pritchard has been on fire lately, averaging 19.8 points per game on a scorching 56.9% shooting from the field over his last five games, Jayson Tatum has experienced a slight dip in form. Over his last three outings, he’s averaged 21 points per game but has struggled from beyond the arc, shooting only 25% from three. Even Tatum, Brown, and Hauser are all shooting below their season averages from three-point range.
- Elite Defense: Despite their offensive prowess, the Celtics are a well-rounded team with a top-ranked defense. They rank 5th in the NBA overall, allowing just 109.0 points per game. This defensive dominance is even more pronounced at home, where they hold opponents to a stingy 107.6 points per contest. They limit opponents’ scoring opportunities by forcing them to take fewer free throws than any other team in the league (17.2 allowed per game).
Injury Report:
- Luke Kornet (Calf – Out)
Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Head-to-Head
- Celtics Dominant as Favorites: The Celtics have a perfect record (3-0) against the Heat in their last three meetings when favored.
- Celtics Inconsistent at Home: Despite a recent edge against the spread (2-1), Boston has split their last three home games against Miami (1-2).
- Scoring Trends: The last five meetings between these teams have been lower-scoring affairs, with an under/over record of 1-2 and an average of 207 points per game when hosted by the Celtics.
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