Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets Betting Odds, AI Picks and Analysis (April 22nd)

Can the Los Angeles Lakers bounce back from a narrow defeat and upset the Denver Nuggets on the road? Take a look on the Lakers vs Nuggets odds, betting insights, AI picks, and key stats analysis to inform your wagers on this exciting Western Conference clash!
Last Game Recap:
- Nuggets Pull Away in Third: The Denver Nuggets outscored the Los Angeles Lakers in the third quarter to secure a 114-103 victory. The Nuggets handily covered the 6.5-point spread, while the total score (217 points) fell short of the 227-point over/under line.
- Shooting Efficiency: Both teams shot well from the field (Lakers – 49.4%, Nuggets – 46.1%). However, three-point shooting proved to be a key factor. The Lakers struggled from beyond the arc, making only 8 threes compared to the Nuggets’ stronger performance.
- Top Performers: Anthony Davis led the Lakers with a double-double (32 points, 14 rebounds), while Nikola Jokic paced the Nuggets with a matching double-double (32 points, 12 rebounds).
Betting Trends:
- Underdog Lakers: The Los Angeles Lakers haven’t fared well as underdogs this season (16-23 record), averaging a scoring deficit of -4.5 points per game in such matchups. Today, they face a 7.5-point spread.
- Lakers’ Scoring Trends: Los Angeles’ games typically see high-scoring affairs, averaging a combined 235 points per game. Interestingly, their last two games have gone under the over/under line.
- Nuggets’ Home Court Advantage: Denver has thrived at home, boasting a strong 34-8 straight-up record and a respectable 22-19 record against the spread. They’ve currently won three straight games at home and are favored by 7.5 points today.
- Nuggets as Favorites: Historically, the Nuggets excel as favorites, winning 54 of their 61 games in that scenario. They’ve also won their last two games as favorites.
- Nuggets’ Scoring: While Denver’s games average a slightly lower combined score (224.4 points per game) compared to the season average, today’s over/under line sits at 223.5 points.
Game Information
Losn Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets |
Location of the Game: Ball Arena, Denver |
Date and Time: Monday, April 22nd 10:00 ET |
Reason: 2024 NBA Western Conference First Round- Play-off Game 2 |
How to watch: watchlivesports.co |
AI Predictions and Sport Betting AI Picks
These are the NBA Computer Picks for tonight’s NBA Schedule game:
TEAM | Series | AI PICKS | Sport Betting AI PICKS | |||
Lakers | 0 | 119 | 233 | SPREAD LAL +7.5 |
MONEYLINE LAL +244 |
TOTAL OVER 223.5 |
Nuggets | 1 | 114 |
- AI Picks: Los Angeles Lakers 119 – Denver Nuggets 114
- Sport Betting AI Picks: ATS Lakers +7.5 | ML Lakers +244 | OVER 223.5
Lakers vs Nuggets Odds
Next, we have the NBA odds for this NBA Matchup.
Los Angeles Lakers Game Analysis
- Offensive Juggernaut: The Lakers enter this matchup as one of the league’s most efficient offensive teams. They rank 3rd in field goal percentage and 5th in true shooting percentage, translating to a potent scoring average of 118 points per game (6th in the NBA). Interestingly, despite their offensive prowess, they attempt fewer three-pointers than most teams in the league.
- Stars Shining Bright: According to the NBA player stats LeBron James has been on fire lately, averaging a stellar 29.6 points per game over his last five games while shooting a blistering 55.1% from the field. Anthony Davis is right behind him, averaging 29.5 points and 13.5 rebounds over his last four games. Austin Reaves has also emerged as a scoring threat, averaging 16.8 points on a scorching 56.4% shooting from the field over his last five games.
- Defensive Woes: The Lakers’ Achilles’ heel lies in their defense. They rank a disappointing 23rd in the league, allowing an average of 117.3 points per game. This defensive vulnerability is even more pronounced on the road, where they surrender a staggering 119.9 points per contest (25th in the NBA). Their struggles extend to three-point defense, ranking 28th in both three-pointers allowed per game and opponent three-point shooting percentage.
Injury Report:
According to the NBA Injury Report we have a list of players that present at least an injury.
- Anthony Davis (Back – Probable)
- LeBron James (Ankle – Probable)
- Christian Wood (Knee – Out)
- Jarred Vanderbilt (Foot – Out)
- Cam Reddish (Ankle – Out)
- Jalen Hood-Schifino (Back – Out)
Denver Nuggets Game Analysis
- Balanced Scoring: Based on the NBA team stats The Nuggets boast a well-rounded offense, averaging a respectable 114.9 points per game (13th in the NBA). While not the fastest paced team (96.2 possessions per game – bottom half of the league), they excel at home, averaging 118.4 points per contest (10th in the NBA).
- Offensive Stars Shine: Nikola Jokic has been on a tear, averaging 27.6 points per game over his last five games while shooting a remarkable 67.8% from the field, including a scorching 66.7% from three-point range. Jamal Murray has complemented Jokic’s dominance, averaging 25.2 points per game over his last five games and hitting 46.5% of his threes.
- Elite Defense: Defense is the cornerstone of the Nuggets’ success, especially at home. They rank a stellar 5th in the NBA, allowing only 108.6 points per game at home and an impressive 6th in the league overall (109.5 points allowed per game).
- Shutting Down the Three-Point Line: A key factor in their defensive dominance is their ability to limit three-point shooting. Opponents struggle from deep against Denver, shooting just 35.3% from three-point range (2nd best in the NBA). They also restrict opponents to the fewest three-pointers made per game at 11.2 (another 2nd place stat). While their defensive intensity has dipped slightly over their last five games (allowing 107.4 points per game – 9th in the league), opponents are still held to a respectable 34.6% shooting from beyond the arc.
Injury Report:
- Vlatko Cancar (Knee – Out)
Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets Head-to-Head
- Nuggets Dominate Recent Matchups: The Nuggets have a stranglehold on the Lakers in recent meetings, winning all five of their last head-to-head encounters. Expanding the view to the last ten matchups, the Nuggets still hold a significant advantage with a 6-3-1 record against the spread (ATS).
- Scoring Trends: Historically, these matchups tend to be high-scoring affairs, averaging a combined 224 points per game over the last five meetings. However, it’s worth noting that the over/under has only hit in one of those five games, suggesting a potential lean towards the under for bettors.
With a potent offense led by Jokic and Murray, combined with their stifling defense at home, the Nuggets look poised for another strong performance.
Don’t forget to check these Nuggets vs Lakers matchups!
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