Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Betting Odds, AI Picks and Analysis

The Mavericks are 11-18 as underdogs this season and have been the underdog in 29 of their 74 games. As the underdog, their ATS record is 14-15, and they have covered the spread in their last three games as the underdog.
Dallas has won seven straight games and is currently 5th in the Western Conference with a record of 45-29. In non-conference games, they are 16-10 compared to 29-19 against Western Conference opponents according to NBA standings
On the road, the Mavericks have an average scoring differential of +1.1 points per game. Their ATS record on the road is 25-12, and they have covered the spread in their last four road games.
In their most recent game, the Mavericks defeated the Rockets by a score of 125-107. The O/U line for that game was 230 points, and they were favored by 3.5 points going into the game.
This season, the average O/U line in Mavericks games is 235.9 points. Today’s line is set at 233.5, and Dallas has a 35-39 O/U record for the season. In their games, 46 of 74 games have had higher O/U lines than today’s.
Warriors Target 5th Straight Win, Eye Improvement on 40-34 Record in Tight Conference Clash
Golden State has won four straight games and is looking to improve on their 40-34 record. In the Western Conference, they are currently 10th and are 5th in the Pacific Division.
As the favorite, the Warriors have a record of 32-16 this season and are favored by 1 point today. In their last three games as the favorite, they have also won straight up.
Against the spread, the Warriors are 40-33 for the season, going 25-12 on the road and 15-21 at home. Their average ATS record at home is 16-9 compared to 24-24 as the favorite.
On the season, Golden State’s O/U record is 36-37-1. Today’s line of 233.5 is just above their season average of 231.5. In their games this season, the average combined scoring total is 233.8.
In their last game, the Warriors defeated the Spurs by a score of 117-113 as per NBA scores. The O/U line for that game was 227.5, and Golden State was favored by 10.5 points.
Game Information
Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors |
Location of the Game: Chase Center, San Francisco |
Date and Time: Tuesday, April 2nd 10:00 ET |
Reason: 2023-2024 NBA Regular Season |
How to watch: TNT |
AI Predictions and Sport Betting AI Picks
These are the NBA Computer Picks for tonight’s NBA Schedule game:
TEAM | RECORD | AI PICKS | Sport Betting AI PICKS | |||
Mavericks | 45-29 | 117 | 229 | SPREAD DAL +1 |
MONEYLINE
DAL -105 |
TOTAL UNDER 233.5 |
Warriors | 40-34 | 112 |
- AI Picks: Dallas Mavericks 117 – Golden State Warriors 112
- Sport Betting AI Picks: ATS Mavericks +1 | ML Mavericks -105 | UNDER 233.5
Mavericks vs Warriors Betting Odds
Next, we have the NBA odds for this NBA Matchup
Dallas Mavericks Game Analysis
When it comes to scoring, the Mavericks are one of the top teams in the league. They are averaging 118.7 points per game, which is 6th in the NBA. On the road, they are averaging 118.1 points per game.
One of the reasons the Mavericks are such a high-scoring team is their three-point shooting. They are 2nd in the league in three-pointers made per game at 14.7. Overall, they are shooting 37% from beyond the arc according to NBA team stats
So far this season, the Mavericks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 60.8% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 11th in the league at 48%.
When it comes to points allowed per game, the Mavericks are 20th in the league at 116.3. On the road, they are giving up 117.1 points per contest, which is also 20th in the NBA. Over their last five games, they have been even better, allowing just 101.6 points per game, which is the 4th best mark in the league during that stretch.
One interesting note about the Mavericks is that opponents have scored more than their season average in 63.5% of their games. When it comes to three-point defense, Dallas is 18th in three-point percentage allowed at 36.6%. Opponents have made more threes than their season average in 58.1% of their games vs. the Mavs.
- Josh Green – Ankle – Out
- Greg Brown III – Personal – Out
- Dereck Lively II – Leg – Questionable
Golden State Warriors Game Analysis
Heading into this game, the Warriors are one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league, averaging 14.7 made threes per game (3rd). Overall, they are 7th in scoring at 118 points per game. However, over their last six games, they have failed to reach their season scoring average.
When it comes to pace, the Warriors are 10th in the league at 99.6 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Golden State is 15th in the NBA at 47%. In terms of free throw attempts, they are 26th in the league.
At home, the Warriors are averaging 117.9 points per game compared to 118 points per game on the road. Overall, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in 58.1% of their games this season.
At home this season, the Golden State Warriors are allowing 117.5 points per game, which is 24th in the NBA. However, over their last five games, they have been the 5th best defense in the league, giving up just 101.8 points per game.
On the season, opponents are shooting 46.8% from the field against the Warriors, which is 9th in the NBA. Over their last five games, Golden State has been even better, ranking 3rd in field goal percentage allowed at 43.1%.
Golden State is the top rebounding team in the league, grabbing 46.8 rebounds per game. They are also 5th in defensive rebounds per game. As per NBA injuries, the following players won’t be able to join the game:
- Klay Thompson – Knee – Probable
- Dario Saric – Knee – Out
- Jonathan Kuminga – Knee – Questionable
Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Head-to-Head
Over the previous Warriors vs Maverickes matchups, the Mavericks have put together a record of 3-2. Over the last three head-to-head matchups between the Mavericks and Warriors, taking the Mavericks against the spread has been a good bet, as they are a perfect 3-0 ATS. In the last five head to head games between the Mavericks and Warriors, the average combined point total is 235 points per game. The over/under record in these matchups is 4-1.
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