New Orleans Pelicans vs. Sacramento Kings Betting Odds, Picks & Analysis for April 11th
The playoff race in the West heats up as the New Orleans Pelicans (47-32) travel to take on the Sacramento Kings (45-34) on Thursday, April 11th. Both teams are fighting for position, making this a crucial matchup. Here’s a quick look at the key betting angles:
- Pelicans Aim for 3rd Straight Win: Riding a two-game win streak, New Orleans boasts a strong road record (26-14) and thrives as underdogs (18-12 ATS). Their high-scoring offense (avg. 225.3 pts) might challenge today’s lower total (218.5).
- Kings Look to Bounce Back at Home: Sacramento is coming off a disappointing loss but has a decent home ATS record (16-22) with recent wins. They’ll be looking to extend their win streak as favorites (3 games). Their games are typically higher scoring (avg. 233.8 pts) compared to today’s projected total.
- Intriguing Betting Trends: The Pelicans have covered the spread in their last four road games, while the Kings have been inconsistent at home ATS (16-22). New Orleans is also profitable as underdogs, making them an interesting pick despite being on the road.
Game Information
| New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings |
| Location of the Game: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento |
| Date and Time: Thursday, April 11th 10:00 ET |
| Reason: 2024 NBA Regular Season |
| How to watch: watchlivesports.co |
AI Predictions and Sport Betting AI Picks
These are the NBA Computer Picks for tonight’s NBA Schedule game:
| TEAM | RECORD | AI PICKS | Sport Betting AI PICKS | |||
| Pelicans | 47-32 | 113 | 224 | SPREAD NO +1 |
MONEYLINE NO -107 |
TOTAL OVER 218.5 |
| Kings | 45-34 | 111 | ||||
- AI Picks: New Orleans Pelicans 113 – Sacramento Kings 111
- Sport Betting AI Picks: ATS Pelicans +1 | ML Pelicans -107 | OVER 218.5
Pelicans vs Kings Odds
Next, we have the NBA odds for this NBA Matchup
New Orleans Pelicans Game Analysis
Offense: The Pelicans score a respectable 114.9 points per game (13th in NBA), with their road offense being just as potent. While not the fastest team (18th in pace), they convert on their shots efficiently:
- Top 10 in both field goal percentage (48%) and two-point percentage (54%).
- Solid three-point shooting (10th in percentage at 37%), but attempt fewer threes than most (25th in attempts).
- Strong free throw shooting (11th in made free throws per game) according to NBA team Stats
Defense: Here’s where things get interesting. New Orleans boasts a top-10 defense overall (8th in points allowed) and an even better road defense (3rd in points allowed). However, their Achilles’ heel is the three-point line:
- Ranked a lowly 24th in both three-point shooting percentage allowed (34.8%) and threes made allowed per game (13.5).
- This weakness has been magnified recently, with the Pelicans dropping to 24th in field goal percentage allowed over their last five games. Paint defense has also slipped during this stretch (27th in two-point percentage allowed).
Injuries: Keep an eye on Brandon Ingram (knee – out) and Naji Marshall (shoulder – questionable). These will have an impact on their NBA player stats
Sacramento Kings Game Analysis
Sacramento boasts a potent offense:
- They average 116.5 points per game (9th in NBA), with their home games even higher scoring (118.7 points per game, 9th in NBA).
- The Kings are trigger-happy from three, ranking 3rd in attempts (39.4 per game) but converting at an average clip (36%, 16th in NBA).
- Sacramento pushes the pace (14th in possessions per game) and creates scoring opportunities (7th in assists per game).
Defense on the Rise: The Kings have tightened up defensively:
- Opponents are shooting below their season average threes in over half their games against Sacramento (54.4%).
- They rank 18th in made threes allowed per game (13.1) overall.
- Interestingly, Sacramento has been the league’s best defense over the last five games, allowing just 101 points per contest. During this stretch, they’ve been particularly strong inside, ranking 10th in two-point percentage allowed.
Injuries: Watch out for the availability of Malik Monk (knee – out), Kevin Huerter (shoulder – out), Jordan Ford (hip – questionable), and Keegan Murray (calf – questionable) according to NBA injuries
Pelicans vs Kings Head-to-Head
Over the previous Pelicans vs Kings matchups, the Pelicans have put together a record of 4-1. As the underdog, the Pelicans have performed well against the spread vs. the Kings, going 3-0. The over/under record in the five most recent head to head games between the Pelicans and Kings is 1-4 with an average of 229 points per game. The last three times that the Pelicans have been on the road vs. the Kings, the over/under record is 2-3.
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