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Phoenix is 4-8 as the underdog this season and has lost two straight games as the underdog. On average, they have been outscored by 5.2 points per game when going in as the underdog.
In their last game against the Magic, the Suns were favored by 1.5 points but lost by a score of 113-98. The O/U line for that game was 227 points.
This season, the Suns have an ATS record of 16-29 and have failed to cover the spread in their last two games. On the road, they are 9-12 ATS.
On average, the Suns’ games have seen a combined scoring total of 230.8 points per game this season. Today’s O/U line is set at 229.5 points, and Phoenix has an O/U record of 23-23.
Phoenix is currently 6th in the Western Conference with a record of 26-20 in the NBA standings. In their last two games, they have lost to the Magic and are 3rd in the Pacific Division.
Miami wants to get back the heat
Miami has lost six straight games, and they are 19-25 ATS this season after going 8-14 ATS at home and 11-11 ATS on the road. As the favorite, the Heat are 11-14 ATS, and they have been favored in 27 of their 46 games.
In the Eastern Conference standings, Miami is currently in 7th place with a record of 24-22. In games against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 18-15 compared to 6-7 against the West.
Miami’s O/U record for the season is 20-26, and the over has hit in their last two games. Today’s O/U line of 229.5 is higher than the average line in their games this season (222.3), and their games have averaged 222 points.
In their last game, the Heat lost to the Knicks by a score of 125-109. Miami was 4.5-point underdogs in that game, and the O/U line was 220.5.
|PHOENIX SUNS vs MIAMI HEAT
|Location of the Game: Kaseya Center, Miami
|Date and Time: Monday, January 29th 7:30 ET
|Reason: 2023-2024 NBA Regular Season
|How to watch: watchlivesports.co
AI Predictions and Sport Betting AI Picks
|Sport Betting AI PICKS
AI Picks: Phoenix Suns 124 – Miami Heat 113
Sport Betting AI Picks: ATS Suns +3.5 | ML Suns +136 | OVER 229.5
Suns vs Heat Betting Odds
Phoenix Suns Game Analysis
The Phoenix Suns come into this game ranked 13th in the league in scoring at 116.4 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 115.8 points per game this season (14th).
Phoenix is one of the most efficient teams in the league, ranking 6th in field goal percentage at 49%. They are also 5th in true shooting percentage thanks to the NBA player stats.
So far, the Suns have outscored the NBA scoring average in 52.2% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 23rd in the league at 97.9 possessions per game.
On the season, the Suns are 15th in the league in points allowed per game at 114.4. When playing on the road, they are giving up 113.9 points per contest, which is 11th in the NBA. Over their last five games, the Suns’ defense has been slightly better than their season average, allowing 115.6 points per game.
So far this season, opponents have scored less than their season average vs. Phoenix in 52.2% of their games. When it comes to three-point shooting, opponents have made fewer threes than their season average vs. the Suns in 41.3% of their games.
For the season, Phoenix is 12th in defensive rebounds, 19th in steals, and 7th in blocked shots. They have also been one of the better teams in the league at not fouling, ranking 23rd in personal fouls per game. In the case of the NBA injuries, Jusuf Nurkic (Thumb), Damion Lee (Knee) and Bol Bol (Foot) are out for the Suns.
Miami Heat Game Analysis
The Miami Heat have been a below-average offensive team this season, ranking 27th in the NBA with 110.5 points per game. However, they have been better at home, averaging 114.0 points per game compared to 107.2 on the road.
Overall, Miami is 29th in pace at 96.3 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, the Heat are 24th in the league at 46%. When it comes to two-point shooting, they are 27th at 51%.
From beyond the arc, Miami is 16th in three-point makes per game (12.5) and 7th in three-point shooting percentage (37%). In terms of free throws, the Heat are 8th in makes (19.1) and 12th in attempts (23.2).
When playing at home this season, the Miami Heat have been a solid defensive team, allowing 114.9 points per game, which is 17th in the NBA. On the season, they are giving up 111.6 points per game, which is 7th in the league.
One area where Miami has been strong defensively is their ability to limit opposing teams from the free-throw line, allowing just 20.6 made free throws per game, which is 5th in the NBA.
Over their last five games, the Heat have struggled to defend the three-point line, allowing opponents to shoot 45.7% from beyond the arc, which is 30th in the league over that stretch. Dru Smith (Knee) is the only player out for Miami.
Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat Head-to-Head
The last five times that the Heat have hosted the Suns, they have an above .500 record at 3-2. As the underdog, the Suns have performed well against the spread vs. the Heat, going 3-0. In the last five head to head games between the Suns and Heat, the average combined point total is 211 points per game. The over/under record in these matchups is 2-3.