Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Betting Odds, AI Picks and Analysis

Heading into today’s game against the Heat, the Rockets are 4.5-point underdogs and sit 3rd in the Southwest and 8th in the West on 18-16. Keep reading for our Rockets vs Heat Betting Odds.
Out of their 34 games, Houston has been the underdog 23 times and has gone 12-10 against the spread in those games. On the road, the Rockets are just 3-10 for the season.
Their average scoring differential on the road is -5.3 points per game compared to +7.5 at home. For the season, they have an average scoring margin of -1 as the underdog.
When looking at their over/under record for the season, the Rockets have gone 14-20 with their games having OU lines averaging 222.4 points. Today’s line of 219.5 is slightly below their average OU line for the season.
Heat’s Home Advantage
With an overall record of 20-15, the Heat will look to pick up a win at home today as 4.5-point favorites over the Rockets. When looking at the Eastern Conference standings, Miami is in 8th place and 2nd in the Southeast.
Against the spread, the Heat are 16-18 this season. When playing at home, they have an average scoring margin of +0.3 points per game and have gone 9-6 straight up. Their two most recent games at home were both ATS wins.
So far, Miami has been in the role of the favorite 19 times and have a record of 14-5. Their average scoring differential as the favorite is +2.7 points per game, and they have covered the spread in two straight games as the favorite.
When looking at the Heat’s over/under record, they are 16-19 for the season. Each of their last five games have finished below the OU lines for each of those games. On average, their games have finished with 224 points per contest this season.
Game Information
Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat |
Location of the Game: Kaseya Center, Miami. |
Date and Time: Monday, January 8. 7:30 ET |
How to watch: watchlivesports.co |
AI Predictions and SportsBettingAI Picks
Here are our Rockets vs Heat Betting Odds:
TEAM | AI PICKS | Sport Betting AI PICKS | |||
Rockets | 115 | 229 | Spread HOU +4.5 | ML HOU +157 | OVER 219.5 |
Heat | 114 |
AI Picks: Houston Rockets 115 – Miami Heat 114
SBAI Picks: ATS Rockets +4.5 | ML Rockets +157 | OVER 219.5
Rockets vs Heat Betting Odds
Next, we have the NBA odds for this Matchup.
Houston Rockets Game Analysis
Against the Bucks, the Rockets offense scored 112 points. Overall, the Rockets shot 43.4% from the field and made 13 three-pointers. Alperen Sengün led the Rockets in scoring with 21 points, while Jeff Green added 16 points.
On the season, the Rockets are giving up just 109.9 points per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the NBA Stats. However, on the road, they have given up 115.8 points per game, which is 15th in the league.
Opponents have been able to score less than their season average in 61.8% of games vs. Houston. In terms of three-point shooting, opposing teams have made fewer threes than their season average in 64.7% of games vs. the Rockets.
On the glass, Houston is 6th in the NBA in rebounds per game and 3rd in defensive rebounds per game. They are also 3rd in personal fouls per game.
Season-high for Unc!
🔥 16 PTS pic.twitter.com/pxW8MTM1h8
— Houston Rockets (@HoustonRockets) January 7, 2024
Miami Heat Game Analysis
In their last game vs. the Suns, the Heat put up 97 points and shot 41% from the field. They hit 10 threes as a team. Bam Adebayo led the Heat with 28 points, while Kevin Love added 20 points.
When it comes to points allowed per game, the Miami Heat are currently 9th in the NBA at 111.6 points per contest. At home, they have been a little worse, ranking 21st in the league at 116.5 points per game.
One area where the Heat have been strong this season is at the free-throw line. They are currently 4th in the NBA in made free throws allowed per game at 20.7.
Over their last five games, Miami has been even better from beyond the arc, ranking 3rd in the league in three-point percentage allowed at 30.5%.
the elevation pic.twitter.com/P4ihrznEuA
— Miami HEAT (@MiamiHEAT) January 6, 2024
Injury Report
Here is the NBA Injury Report for both teams:
- Victor Oladipo – Knee – Out
- Dillon Brooks – Abdomen – Out
- Tari Eason – Leg – Out
- Jimmy Butler – Toe – Out
- Caleb Martin – Ankle – Doubtful
- Dru Smith – Knee – Out
Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Head-to-Head
In the last three games that the Heat have hosted the Rockets, they are a perfect 3-0. In the previous three head-head to matchups between the Rockets and Heat, the Heat have gone 2-1 vs. the spread with an average scoring differential of 7 points per game. Across the last three head to head matchups between the Rockets and Heat, the teams have averaged 213 points per game with an over/under record of 2-1. The last three times they have faced off with the Heat as the home team, the OU record is 2-1.
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