Alabama Crimson Tide vs North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction, Betting Odds, AI Picks and Analysis
North Carolina Tar Heels and Alabama Crimson Tide will collide in the Sweet Sixteen of the March Madness. A huge matchup that defines a spot in the Elite Eight. The winner of this Alabama vs North Carolina matchup is going to face the winner of the Arizona vs Clemson game. Let’s see the Alabama vs North Carolina prediction.
Alabama enters this game as a 4.5-point underdog. On the season, the Crimson Tide have gone 23-11, including a 13-7 record in Southeastern Conference play. They have won two straight games, and their road record this season is 7-8.
Alabama’s record as an underdog this season is 1-7. In their last game, they defeated Grand Canyon by an NCAAB score of 72-61. Over their last 10 road games, the Crimson Tide have gone 6-4, and their average scoring margin on the road this season is -0.4 points per game.
Alabama has an ATS record of 19-16 this season, including a 6-9 mark on the road. As the underdog, the Crimson Tide have gone just 2-6 vs. the spread this year and are 0-3 in their last three games as the underdog. Their last 10 ATS mark as the underdog is 2-8.
Alabama’s over/under record this season is 26-9 and the average over/under line in their games is 164.1. Today’s line of 173.5 is higher than the average scoring total in their games this season of 172.2. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 175 points and their OU record in those games is 2-1. So far, 17 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line.
North Carolina wants to enter Sweet Sixteen
North Carolina will be looking to extend their two-game winning streak when they take on Alabama. The Tar Heels have a record of 29-7 this season and are 20-4 in ACC games, according to the NCAAB standings. At home, they are 21-3, and they have won their last two games in Chapel Hill.
For the season, North Carolina has been favored in 34 of their 36 games, going 28-6 in those contests. They have an average scoring margin of +15.5 points per game at home compared to +4.6 on the road.
As the favorite this season, North Carolina has gone 19-15 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS record is 13-11. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Tar Heels have a 6-4 ATS mark.
This season, the over/under record for North Carolina games is 19-18 and the average scoring total in their games is 151.4 points. Today’s over/under line of 173.5 is significantly higher than the average over/under line in their games (151.6). So far, 34 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s over/under line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total is 154 points.
Game Information
| ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE vs NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS |
| Location of the Game: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, California |
| Date and Time: Thursday, March 28th 9:39 ET |
| Reason: 2024 March Madness Sweet Sixteen |
| How to watch: CBS |
Alabama vs North Carolina Prediction Odds
There are the NCAAB Odds for this matchup of today’s NCAAB Schedule:
AI Predictions and Sport Betting AI Picks
These are the NCAAB Computer Picks for this NCAAB Matchup:
| TEAM | AI PICKS | Sport Betting AI PICKS | |||
| ALABAMA | 66 | 145 | Spread UNC -4.5 |
ML UNC -181 |
Total UNDER 173.5 |
| NORTH CAROLINA | 79 | ||||
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- AI Picks: North Carolina Tar Heels 79 – Alabama Crimson Tide 66
- Sport Betting AI Picks: ATS Tar Heels -4.5 | ML Tar Heels -181 | UNDER 173.5
Alabama Crimson Tide Game Analysis
The Alabama offense is coming off a game where they scored 72 points against Grand Canyon. They posted a field goal percentage of 36.9% and connected on 8 threes. The top scorer for the Crimson Tide was Mark Sears with 26 points, while Rylan Griffen also added 13 to the scoreboard, according to the NCAAB player stats.
Coming into the game, Alabama will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 81.5 points per game (353rd). In today’s game vs. North Carolina, the Alabama defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Alabama made 16 free-throws vs. the Crimson Tide.
According to the NCAAB Injury Report, these players will could not play this matchup:
- Latrell Wrightsell Jr. – Head – Probable
- Davin Cosby Jr. – Foot – Out
North Carolina Tar Heels Game Analysis
The Tar Heels’ offense finished with 85 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 81.5 points per contest. One area that the North Carolina offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 30th in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 45%, according to the NCAAB team stats.
Coming into today’s game, the North Carolina defense is giving up an average of 69.8 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, North Carolina’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 40.9% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 31.4% this season.
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