North Carolina State Wolfpack vs Duke Blue Devils Prediction, Betting Odds, AI Picks and Analysis
The 2024 March Madness underdog, the North Carolina State Wolfpack, is living a true fairy tale. The Wolfpack is one game away to reach the Final Four, but first, they must beat one of the College Basketball powerhouses, the Duke Blue Devils. The winner of the Duke vs NC State matchup will go to Glendale next weekend. Let’s see the NC State vs Duke Prediction.
North Carolina State is 25-14 this season, and they have won eight games in a row. According to the NCAAB standings, they are 14-11 in Atlantic Coast Conference action, and they have gone 11-3 in non-conference play.
On the road, the Wolfpack are 12-9, and they have a +0.3 average scoring margin. They have won seven straight road games, and over their last 10, they are 7-3.
Against the spread, North Carolina State has a record of 20-18-1 this season. On the road, they have gone 12-8-1 vs. the spread. As the underdog, the Wolfpack have a mark of 12-7-1 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, NC State has gone 7-3 vs. the spread.
This season, the over/under record for North Carolina State games is 22-15-2. Today’s over/under line of 142.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (146.1). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 141 points and their OU record during this stretch is 1-1-1. So far, 13 of their games this year have finished with less points than today’s OU line.
Duke wants to return to the Final Four
After a 54-51 win over Houston, Duke is 26-8 overall and 14-6 in Atlantic Coast Conference play. They are favored by 6.5 points today, and they have gone 25-6 as the favorite this season.
At home, the Blue Devils are 18-4 this season, and they have won their last two games at home. Over their last ten games at home, they are 8-2.
As the favorite, Duke has gone 19-12 vs. the spread this season and they’ve gone 8-2 in their last 10 games as the favorite. At home, the Blue Devils have an ATS record of 14-8 this season and they are 7-3 in their last 10 home games vs. the spread.
This season, the over/under record for Duke games is 14-19-1. On average, the point total in their games is 145.6, which is slightly higher than the average over/under line of 146. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 121 points. So far, 24 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line of 142.5.
Game Information
NORTH CAROLINA STATE WOLFPACK vs DUKE BLUE DEVILS |
Location of the Game: American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas |
Date and Time: Sunday, March 31st 5:05 ET |
Reason: 2024 March Madness Elite Eight South Regional Final |
How to watch: CBS |
NC State vs Duke Prediction Odds
There are the NCAAB Odds for this matchup of today’s NCAAB Schedule:
AI Predictions and Sport Betting AI Picks
These are the NCAAB Computer Picks for this NCAAB Matchup:
TEAM | AI PICKS | Sport Betting AI PICKS | |||
NC STATE | 70 | 144 | Spread NCST +6.5 |
ML DUKE -262 |
Total OVER 142.5 |
DUKE | 74 |
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- AI Picks: Duke Blue Devils 74 – North Carolina State Wolfpack 70
- Sport Betting AI Picks: ATS Wolfpack +6.5 | ML Blue Devils -262 | OVER 142.5
North Carolina State Wolfpack Game Analysis
Against Marquette, the North Carolina State had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 76.4 points per game. Based on their NCAAB player stats, they scored 67 points and posted a field goal percentage of 46.4% in the game. One area that the North Carolina State offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 184th in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 44%.
On the defensive side, North Carolina State is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 71.7 points per game. North Carolina State will look once again to perform well on defense, holding Marquette to just 33% shooting in their most recent game.
Duke Blue Devils Game Analysis
In contrast to their season average of 79.8 points per game, the Duke had a below average performance. They scored 54 points against Houston and had a field goal percentage of 40.8%. On the offensive front, the Blue Devils have a season-long field goal percentage of 48%, ranking 50th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 42nd in terms of percentage and 88th in three-pointers made, according to the NCAAB team stats.
At this time, the Blue Devils’ defense is positioned 31st in the country, permitting 66.0 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Duke’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 43.0% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.2% this season.
Injury Report
According to the NCAAB Injury Report, these player will not be able for this crucial matchup:
North Carolina State Wolfpack
- LJ Thomas – Personal – Out
- MJ Rice – Redshirt – Out
- Dennis Parker Jr. – Illness – Out
Duke Blue Devils
- Christian Reeves – Ankle – Out
- Jaden Schutt – Redshirt – Out
- Caleb Foster – Foot – Out
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