UFC 295: Jiri Prochazka vs Alex Pereira Odds, AI Picks, and AI Prediction
UFC 295 is almost here with two title fights headlining a stacked card in “The Mecca” of combat sports, Madison Square Garden. We will break down the main event bout for the vacant light heavyweight title between former champions Jiri Prochazka and Alex Pereira. And of course, the Prochazka vs Pereira Prediction for this light heavyweight title is on.
Betting on UFC events like this Prochazka vs Pereira Prediction can be difficult because of the massive stage and unpredictability of these fights. Still, we can find the best Prochazka vs Pereira prediction possible by carefully analyzing this matchup.
Let’s dive into this light heavyweight title bout and talk about how these two elite UFC fighters might get their hand raised on Saturday night, along with the best Prochazka vs Pereira prediction and betting picks to make this weekend.
Bout Information
| JIRI PROCHAZKA vs ALEX PEREIRA |
| Location of the Game: Madison Square Garden, New York City, New York, United States |
| Date and Time: Saturday, November 11, 2023 – 10 PM ET main card start |
| Reason: UFC Light Heavyweight Championship Bout |
| How to watch: ESPN+ PPV |
Prochazka vs Pereira Prediction and Odds
| FIGHTER | MONEYLINE | OVER/UNDER |
| JIRI PROCHAZKA | -102 | O 1.5 |
| ALEX PEREIRA | -128 | U 1.5 |
For the Prochazka vs Pereira prediction, and interestingly enough, Alex Pereira’s UFC fight odds are finally in his favor in this fight against the former light heavyweight champion, when he hasn’t had an edge at the sportsbook in his last three fights. You can get Pereira at -128 odds to win and +100 to win inside the distance.
For the Czech, UFC odds have him as the slight -102 underdog for this Prochazka vs Pereira Prediction odds, but these lines might end up being EVEN by Saturday night, depending on how the public is betting. Prochazka is also +135 to win inside the distance.
The most interesting betting line of this bout has to be the over/under being set at 1.5 rounds when both of these men haven’t finished a fight in less than 1.5 rounds in their last few appearances. These betting lines are only a small part of making the correct Prochazka vs Pereira prediction this weekend.
Betting Preview
Jiri Prochazka
Prochazka is a 29-3-1 mixed martial artist from the Czech Republic. At 31 years old, he has won the RIZIN and UFC light heavyweight titles and is looking to regain the UFC title after sitting out over a year.
Jiri Prochazka’s injury was described by doctors and UFC president Dana White as “gruesome” and “the worst.” After surgery and recovery, he’s finally ready to get his title back. In his UFC career, Prochazka averages 5.77 significant strikes landed per minute and 5.40 significant strikes absorbed per minute.
Alex Pereira
Pereira is an 8-2 professional MMA fighter who is also a Glory kickboxing Hall of Famer as of a few weeks ago. He is from Brazil and has made the move up to light heavyweight, now defeating former champion Jan Blachowicz earlier this year.
Pereira averages 5.11 significant strikes landed and 3.70 significant strikes absorbed per minute in the UFC. He lands his significant strikes at an impressive 62% clip as well. On top of that, he has a solid 70% takedown defense.
AI Betting Picks
| ODDS | AI BETTING PICKS |
| OVER/UNDER | OVER 1.5 Rounds (-165) |
| MONEYLINE | Jiri Prochazca (-102) |
The official Prochazka vs Pereira prediction is that Prochazka will get the job done and his hand raised as the new champion on Saturday night. His all-around MMA skills, experience, and aggressiveness will be key factors in this decision.
Prochazka has an unorthodox style that will give Pereira trouble with his technical, calculated striking style. The only issue for Prochazka is how he darts into range with his hands down. This can be very dangerous against someone with the power of Pereira.
The grappling skills of Prochazka have to be the key to winning this fight. If he doesn’t use all of his MMA skills, it will be tough to beat Pereira in a kickboxing match. But since this is the biggest opponent that Pereira has faced up to date, it will be interesting to see how he handles the grappling.
Also, take the over 1.5 round total because there’s a good chance the first round is going to be slow-moving and used to figure out the distance and timing of both guys. Pereira has no issues starting slow, but Prochazka needs to stay focused and now gets bored in there.
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