Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, AI Picks, Betting Odds, and Analysis
The Boston Red Sox travel to Seattle to take on the Seattle Mariners in the Opening Day of the 2024 MLB season. This Red Sox vs Mariners matchup is the firt of a four-game series in late March. Let’s see the Red Sox vs Mariners Prediction.
After missing out on the playoffs last season, the Red Sox will look to improve on their 78-84 record. In the American League, they finished in 10th place and 5th in the AL-East. Against division opponents, Boston went 24-28.
Overall, the Red Sox were 40-36 when favored and 38-48 as the underdog. On the road, they went 23-29 as the underdog and 16-13 as the favorite. Last season’s team was 49-49 in night games and 29-35 in day games.
Last season, the Red Sox had an even average run differential at 0.0 runs per game. Overall, their run line record was 78-84, including a 36-45 mark at home and a 42-39 record on the road. In games they covered the run line, their average scoring margin was +3.4 runs per game compared to -3.2 runs per game in games they did not cover the run line. For the season, they were the underdog in 53.1% of their games, going 47-39 vs. the run line.
Last season, the Red Sox had an over/under record of 82-77, and their games averaged a combined 9.6 runs per contest. When their games had an O/U line of 7.5 runs, the over/under record was 6-5. Overall, 65.4% of their games finished with more runs than 7.5.
The Mariners want to try one more time to come to the World Series
The Mariners are looking to build off their 88-74 record from last season, which was good for 6th in the American League and 3rd in the AL West, according to the MLB standings. Despite their winning record, Seattle missed out on the playoffs.
At home, the Mariners were 45-36 last season compared to 43-38 on the road. In night games, Seattle went 59-46, while they were 29-28 in day games. As the favorite, the Mariners went 66-46 last season and were 22-28 as the underdog.
Seattle finished last season with an average run differential of +0.6 runs per game. Their overall run line record was 77-85, including 32-49 at home and 45-36 on the road. In games that they covered the run line, their average scoring margin was +3.8 runs per game compared to -2.3 runs per game in games they did not cover. The Mariners were the favorite in 69.1% of their games, going 47-65 vs. the run line.
Seattle’s games last season had an average O/U line of 8.1 runs, and their O/U record for the year was 81-77. In games with an O/U line of 7.5 runs, the over/under record was 25-19. Last year, 62.3% of their games had higher O/U lines than today’s 7.5 runs, and their games averaged a combined 8.7 runs per game. Overall, 59.3% of their games finished with more runs than 7.5 runs.
Game Information
| BOSTON RED SOX vs SEATTLE MARINERS |
| Location of the Game: T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington |
| Date and Time: Thursday, March 28th 10:10 ET |
| Reason: 2024 MLB Regular Season |
| How to watch: watchlivesports.co |
AI Predictions and Sport Betting AI Picks
These are the MLB Computer Picks for this MLB Schedule game:
| TEAM | PITCHER | 2023 RECORD | AI PICKS | Sport Betting AI PICKS | |||
| RED SOX | B. BELLO | 78-84 | 4 | 9 | RUN LINE NYY +1.5 |
MONEYLINE HOU -152 |
TOTAL OVER 8.5 |
| MARINERS | L. CASTILLO | 88-74 | 5 | ||||
- AI Picks: Seattle Mariners 5 – Boston Red Sox 4
- Sport Betting AI Picks: Run Line Red Sox +1.5 -156 | ML Mariners -175 | OVER 7.5 RUNS
Red Sox vs Mariners Prediction Odds
Next, we have the MLB odds for this MLB Matchup.
Boston Red Sox Game Analysis
Brayan Bello is coming off a season in which he made 28 starts and went 12-11. His ERA for the year was 4.24, and he finished with 15 quality starts. Bello’s WHIP was 1.34, and he allowed a batting average of .268. Last season, he faced the Mariners twice and went 2-0 with an ERA of 1.95. For the year, Bello gave up 24 home runs, and his strikeout-to-walk ratio was 2.9.
Last season, the Red Sox were 11th in runs per game at 4.7 and finished the year with the 5th best batting average (.258). On the road, Boston’s offense averaged 4.5 runs per game (15th) compared to 5.0 runs per game at home (8th). At Fenway Park, the Red Sox were 2nd in home batting average (.270) and 3rd in home on-base percentage (.334), based on the MLB team stats.
The Red Sox will be looking for Rafael Devers to continue his power surge from last season. Devers hit 33 home runs and drove in 100 runs while batting .271. Triston Casas is also back after hitting 24 home runs and batting .263. Tyler O’Neill is a new addition to the team after hitting 9 home runs and batting .231 for the Cardinals last season.
Seattle Mariners Game Analysis
Coming off a season in which he made 33 starts, Luis Castillo finished with a record of 14-9 and an ERA of 3.33. He made 18 quality starts and allowed a total of 28 home runs. Castillo’s WHIP for the season was 1.10, and his FIP was 3.81. His batting average allowed was .215, and he finished the season with a slugging percentage allowed of .390. Castillo’s strikeout-to-walk ratio for the season was 3.9, and he averaged 1.7 walks per game, according to the MLB player stats.
Seattle’s offense was middle of the pack in terms of runs per game last season, averaging 4.7 runs per contest (12th). They were a bit better on the road, scoring 5.0 runs per game (8th). Overall, the Mariners were 10th in home runs (210) and 15th in batting average (.242). Their strikeout rate was the 29th best in the league, and they were 10th in walks. On the road, Seattle’s batting average was .243 (12th) compared to .232 at home.
The Mariners’ top returning home run hitter from last season is Julio Rodríguez, who hit 32 home runs and drove in 103 runs. Cal Raleigh hit 30 home runs and batted .232 last season. Mitch Garver is a new addition to the team and hit 19 home runs last season for the Rangers.
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