australian-open Picks News
While one half of the Australian Open finals prediction is as expected – second and defending champion Aryna Sabalenka secured her spot with a win over Coco Gauff – the other half of the draw was entirely unpredictable. Top seed and world No. 1 Iga Swiatek, as well as other top-10 players, lost her match in early Australian Open matchups, leading to the unexpected semi-final of Qinwen Zheng vs. Dayana Yastremska.
Zheng, the 12th seed, beat the Ukrainian qualifier 6-4, 6-4 early Thursday morning to set up the unlikely final. It’s the second career match between Zheng and Sabalenka, with Sabalenka winning the first match in straight sets at last year’s U.S. Open.
|ARYNA SABALENKA vs QINWEN ZHENG
|Location of the Game: Rod Laver Arena in Melbourne, Australia
|Date and Time: Saturday, January 27 at 3:30 a.m. ET
|Reason: 2024 Australian Open WTA Finals
|How to watch: ESPN
AI Betting Picks
|AI BETTING PICKS
|Under 20 (-120)
|Aryna Sabalenka (-500)
While Zheng is a worthy finalist and will break into the top-10 for the first time in her career following the Australian Open, she doesn’t have much of a chance against Sabalenka, who has dropped just one set in her last 13 matches in Melbourne.
Australian Open Semifinals Prediction Odds
Zverev is the betting underdog in the Australian Open semifinals predictions with +125 moneyline odds, while Medvedev opened with -150 moneyline odds. Other tennis odds for the match include Zverev winning the first set (+120). The three-way betting for total sets is three sets (+115), four sets (+155), and five sets (+200).
Aryna Sabalenka vs Qinwen Zheng Betting Preview
Sabalenka Looking to Defend Title
Aryna Sabalenka, who was the favorite in Australian Open computer picks to enter the tournament, has somehow been even better this year than she was when she won her first grand slam at last year’s Australian Open. Sabalenka beat Elena Rybakina in three sets in last year’s final and, while she didn’t drop a set before that, was taken to the brink a couple times, having to win two set tiebreaks. The Sabalenka stats for this year have been even better as she lost just 16 games in her first five matches and was finally taken to a tiebreak in the first set against Gauff.
Sabalenka hasn’t had an easy route to the final either. In addition to Gauff, she had to beat ninth seed Barbora Krejcikova, 28th seed Lesia Tsurenko, and American Amanda Anismova, who had been playing incredible tennis coming into the match. Her poise on the court is unmatched, particularly on hard courts, where she is 36-10 over the last 52 weeks.
Sabalenka is into her third final in the last five grand slams.
Zheng’s Easy Route to Her First Grand Slam Final
While Zheng deserves all the credit in the world for reaching the Australian Open finals prediction, she hasn’t exactly had the most difficult path to get there. She has yet to play an opponent ranked inside the top-50 and has still dropped three sets along the way, whereas Sabalenka hasn’t lost a set despite playing tougher opponents. Three of Zheng’s opponents were between No. 90-100 in the ranking.
To her credit, Zheng has had some recent success against ranked players. She beat Marketa Vondrousova at the United Cup in early January and, while competing in her native China, beat Jelena Ostapenko, Donna Vekic, and Krejcikova, the latter of which was in the final of the Bank of Communications Zhengzhou Open. And, most importantly, the Zheng results have been wins in Australia. She also had impressive Australian Open player stats in her semi-final win against Yastremska, recording four aces and winning 71 percent of points on first serve. She leads the tournament in total aces.