Australian Open Semifinal: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic Odds, AI Picks, and Betting Prediction
The 2024 Australian Open is coming to a close, but we’ve got some incredible matches to look ahead to, especially in the men’s draw. Novak Djokovic, the world No. 1 and favorite in Australian Open odds, is due for his toughest test yet in Melbourne as he takes on fourth seed Jannik Sinner in the first of two semi-finals on Thursday. As dominant as Djokovic has been over the last year, he’s 1-2 in his last three matches against Sinner, who easily has the best Australian Open player stats through five matches.
Here’s a look at the Australian Open semifinals picks for the Djokovic and Sinner match, which is sure to be one of the matches of the tournament.
Match Information
JANNIK SINNER vs NOVAK DJOKOVIC |
Location of the Game: Rod Laver Arena in Melbourne, Australia |
Date and Time: Wednesday, January 25 at 8 p.m. ET |
Reason: 2024 Australian Open WTA Semifinals |
How to watch: ESPN |
AI Betting Picks
ODDS | AI BETTING PICKS |
OVER/UNDER | Over 39 rounds (-120) |
MONEYLINE | Novak Djokovic (-220) |
As impressive as Sinner has been going back to last season, it’s incredibly tough to bet against Djokovic at the Australian Open as he seemingly takes his game to another gear in Melbourne. Expect a close, five-set affair in this match with Djokovic ultimately marching on to compete for a record-extending 11th Australian Open title.
Australian Open Semifinals Odds
FIGHTER | HANDICAP | MONEYLINE | OVER/UNDER |
JANNIK SINNER | +4 | +180 | O 39 |
NOVAK DJOKOVIC | -4 | -220 | U 39 |
Djokovic opened as the betting favorite in Australian Open semifinals picks against Sinner. He has -225 moneyline odds and match handicap odds of -3.5 (-125). The games total is 39.5, with both over and under odds at -120. Sinner has +175 moneyline odds.
Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic Betting Preview
Nobody Hotter Than Sinner Right Now
Sinner might not be favored in Australian Open computer picks, but he’s unquestionably the hottest player in the tennis world right now. The 22-year-old Italian had a strong showing in the Nitto ATP Finals, going 1-1 in two matches against Djokovic, who ultimately won the tournament, and later beat Djokovic en route to leading Italy to a title in the Davis Cup. He hasn’t lost a set yet in Melbourne, most recently beating top-20 players Karen Khachanov and Andrey Rublev in straight sets.
Looking at the total record for Sinner games in the Australian Open, he is 93-47 and has only had to go to one tiebreaker, which came in his quarter-final victory over Rublev 6-4, 7-6 (5), 6-3. Sinner won four titles last year and is 47-9 on hard courts over the last 52 weeks.
Djokovic Battling Illness and Injuries
Djokovic hasn’t played to the best of his abilities through his first five matches, but yet here he is once again in the Australian Open semifinals picks. He needed four sets to beat his first two opponents – Dino Prizmic and Alexei Popyrin – but that could be attributed to a nagging wrist injury and an illness that he was dealing with. He responded with dominant straight set wins over Tomas Etcheverry and Adrian Mannarino, but again needed four sets to beat Taylor Fritz 7-6 (3), 4-6, 6-2, 6-3 in the quarter-finals.
Of all Djokovic scores in the tournament, his win against Mannarino 6-0, 6-0, 6-3 showed what he is truly capable of when he plays to expectations. He needs to bring that level of intensity to the match against Sinner if he is to be featured in subsequent Australian Open matchups.
Another thing worth noting for the Sinner vs. Djokovic Australian Open semifinals picks is that Djokovic has spent nearly five hours more on court than his opponent. This could be a factor in Thursday’s match, especially if Djokovic is still dealing with wrist soreness.
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