FIGHT NIGHT: Amanda Ribas vs Rose Namajunas Betting Odds, AI Picks, and Prediction

The headlining bout of this weekend’s UFC event in Las Vegas at the UFC APEX is between women’s flyweights Amanda Ribas and Rose Namajunas. With one coming off a big win and one coming off a big loss, they meet at a crossroads.
We will dive deep into the Ribas vs Namajunas betting lines and study the matchup by breaking down the numbers, along with studying the film on both of these talented women. These two UFC fighters are capable of making a run at the title after being propelled by a big win this weekend.
Let’s take a closer look at this Ribas vs. Namajunas bout and discuss what the most likely outcome of this fight will be, and then give the best bets to make on this weekend’s main event.
Bout Information
AMANDA RIBAS vs ROSE NAMAJUNAS |
Location of the Game: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States |
Date and Time: March 23, 2024 – 10 PM ET main card starts |
Reason: UFC Women’s Flyweight Main Event bout |
How to watch: ESPN+ |
AI Betting Picks
ODDS | AI BETTING PICKS |
OVER/UNDER | Over 4.5 rounds (+170) |
MONEYLINE | Rose Namajunas (-210) |
While looking much deeper into this matchup than your usual UFC AI picks you find online, our official Ribas vs Namajunas betting prediction for this weekend is that Namajunas will get the much needed win after a master class of kickboxing and wrestling defense.
It’s tough to look past her issues with being excited to be in the octagon, and her two recent losses, but Namajunas is still very skilled. Hopefully her corner and her own self have worked through some of the mental blocks in her game, because he is one of the best women fighters to ever strap on the UFC gloves when she’s at 100%.
The speed and foot work of Namajunas, for instance, is going to be very tough for Ribas to handle over 25 minutes. Ribas is tough and will bite down on her mouthpiece to land big shots on her opponents, but Namajunas is too slick. She will be able to time-up the entries from Ribas after the first few exchanges.
It’s a good chance to hedge these picks by taking the o4.5 round total because this could very well be an off-night for Namajunas where she gets wrestled and controlled by Ribas for 25 minutes. But this will most likely be a finish by “Thug” Rose.
Battle vs Loosa Prediction Odds
FIGHTER | MONEYLINE | OVER/UNDER |
AMANDA RIBAS | +170 | O 4.5 |
ROSA NAMAJUNAS | -210 | U 4.5 |
Starting with the Ribas v. Namajunas betting lines, you can get the Brazilian contender at +170 underdog odds to win on Saturday night. She’s coming in at +450 to win inside the distance as well.
If the former champion, “Thug” Rose Namajunas KOs her opponent this weekend, you can get that method of victory at +110 odds along with her -210 money line. She is -110 to win inside the distance in any fashion.
According to UFC odds, the over/under is set at 4.5 rounds even though the fight itself is favored to end inside the distance at -175. Also, The u4.5 round total is currently at -145, meaning the oddsmakers expect the middle rounds to be the deciders.
Betting Preview
Amanda Ribas
Ribas is a Brazilian MMA fighter with a 12-4 record and 7 wins inside the distance, including 4 submissions. She is in the top 10 in both the strawweight and flyweight divisions as well. She is a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and a black belt in Judo, along with being a champion in two other promotions. Also, Ribas has won two post-fight bonuses in the UFC.
Even as a black belt, Amanda Ribas’ submissions have only come in 2 of her 7 UFC wins and 2 other wins were TKOs. She’s a 5’3” orthodox with a 66” reach at 30 years old. She averages 4.92 significant strikes landed per minute and 3.33 absorbed per minute. She adds 1.99 takedowns per 15 minutes to her offensive attack and has a stingy 87% takedown defense.
Rose Namajunas
Namajunas is an American MMA fighter who has an 11-6 pro MMA record with 2 TKO/KO wins and 5 submissions under her belt at the age of 31. She is the former two-time UFC strawweight champion with two title defenses as well. She has also earned six post-fight bonuses in the UFC, her last being the best Rose Namajunas KO yet–a head kick KO over the great Weili Zhang in 2021.
Namajunas is a 5’5” orthodox striker with a 65” reach. She lands 3.68 significant strikes per minute while absorbing an average of 3.53. She has a very solid 62% striking defense as well. In summary, Don’t sleep on her grappling skills, as she comes in with a 60% takedown defense and lands 1.49 takedowns per 15 minutes at a 48% rate.
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