KO or Decision? Lemos vs Jandiroba Prediction and AI Betting Breakdown (Jul 16)
The UFC is back again this weekend with an event in the APEX in Las Vegas; something the fans are getting sick of, but it’s always interesting to watch high-level fights there. The main event bout will be between women’s strawweight top contenders Amanda Lemos and Virna Jandiroba.
With both being ranked in the top 5 of the division, a highlight performance from either could call for a title shot later this year. Who will get their hand raised on Saturday night and how will the fight be played out?
This UFC AI pick will give insight into how this pick was made and what the reader should think while betting on this main event. Read further for a closer look at this matchup and what to expect as a bettor.
UFC Fight Night Information
Amanda Lemos vs Virna Jandiroba (UFC Fight Night Main Event) |
Location of the Fight: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NV. |
Date and Time: July 20, 2024 | 8:00 PM ET Main card starts |
How to watch: ESPN+ |
Amanda Lemos vs. Virna Jandiroba Odds
Fighter | Moneyline | Total |
Virna Jandiroba | -132 | O 2.5 -180 |
Amanda Lemos | +102 | U 2.5 +150 |
The current UFC odds have Lemos as the +120 underdog this weekend. No current prop bets are available this early in the week, but keep an eye out for them to be released as the days go by. There will most likely be solid odds for a finish from both fighters.
Jandiroba is going into her first main event bout as the -140 betting favorite over the former world championship challenger. Keep an eye out for more prop betting lines and alternative moneylines for this event as the week goes on.
We are predicting Lemos vs Jandiroba betting lines will show that betting sites expect there to be a finish in this main event, a rarity for women’s strawweight fights. Both of these women fight hard and with a lot of pressure. Lemos is a power puncher and an aggressive grappler, and Jandiroba is always there to scrap against anybody, looking for a finish.
Betting Preview
Amanda Lemos:
Lemos is the #3 strawweight contender in the world and is going into this main event with a 14-3-1 professional MMA record, including 11 finishes on her resume. She is a Brazilian who has fought in a world title bout in the UFC and has experience in 5-round fights.
Lemos is a 5’4” southpaw with a 65” reach at 37 years old. She averages just 3.43 significant strikes landed and 4.21 absorbed per minute in the octagon. She also gets 0.98 takedowns per 15 minutes and has a mediocre 57% takedown defense.
Strawweight contenders Saturday night! ⚔️
🇧🇷 #3 Amanda Lemos takes on 🇧🇷 #5 Virna Jandiroba in the top spot at #UFCVegas94!
[ LIVE on @Sportsnet & @TVASports ] pic.twitter.com/19oM890Y2E
— UFC Canada (@UFC_CA) July 16, 2024
Virna Jandiroba:
Jandiroba is also a top-5 UFC strawweight contender from Brazil. Her professional record of an impressive 20-3 with 14 finishes under her belt at the age of 36. She is a former Invicta FC strawweight champion and has one defense there, winning two Performance of the Night bonuses at the women’s promotion.
Jandiroba is a 5’3” orthodox fighter with a 64” reach. She averages just 2.30 significant strikes landed and 2.96 absorbed per minute in the UFC. Her wrestling is her strongest attribute, averaging an impressive 2.36 takedowns per 15 minutes and 1.2 submissions.
Strawweights collide this Saturday! 💥
Amanda Lemos vs Virna Jandiroba at #UFCVegas94! pic.twitter.com/K56O50Yp1F
— UFC Europe (@UFCEurope) July 16, 2024
AI Betting Picks
Over/Under – U 4.5 rounds (TBD)
Moneyline – Amanda Lemos (+120)
The official Lemos vs Jandiroba betting prediction is that Lemos will get her hand raised with a brutal KO victory. This is a tough fight to predict because we don’t know what version of Lemos will show up, as she sometimes looks like she is somewhere else mentally in the octagon.
Jandiroba is on a streak of great performances and she has tons of confidence right now. Her wrestling is dangerous but we are having faith in Lemos’ preparation. She is the more dangerous fighter, along with having experience in main events and big fights in the UFC.
It’s easy to bet against Jandiroba because she doesn’t have the look of a world champion because she seems to be smaller and not as athletic as all the top contenders, but she has heart and tons of skill.
After breaking down the film of both fighters, the patterns that stand out the most are the way Jandiroba comes into range and the way Lemos counters opponents hard. This calls for a big counter 3-2 combination that puts Jandiroba down and changes the fight instantly.
With the pressure and aggressiveness from both fighters, we are banking on there being a finish in this one.
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