UFC Flyweight Clash: Namajunas vs Cortez Betting- AI Predicts Winner & Analyzes (Jul 13)
The highest level of MMA is back this weekend with a UFC event in Denver, Colorado headlined by women’s flyweights Rose Namajunas and Tracy Cortez. Cortez is stepping up on a few week’s notice to replace Maycee Barber, as she pulled out of the fight due to illness.
We will break down the Namajunas vs Cortez betting lines and fight styles of each woman, then make official UFC AI picks for you to tail this weekend and win some money at the sportsbook.
Continue reading for a closer look at this Namajunas vs Cortez bout and for a deeper understanding of how to break down UFC fights to win money through sports betting.
UFC Fight Night Information
| Rose Namajunas vs Tracy Cortez |
| Location of the Fight: Ball Arena, Denver, Colorado. |
| Date and Time: July 13, 2024 | 10:00 PM ET Main card starts |
| How to watch: ESPN+ |
Rose Namajunas vs Tracy Cortez Odds
| Fighter | Moneyline | Total |
| Tracy Cortez | +165 | O 4.5 -280 |
| Rose Namajunas | -200 | U 4.5 +220 |
According to the current UFC odds, Namajunas is going into the weekend as the -200 betting favorite as the main event. You can also get her to win inside the 5-round distance at +230. More specific prop bets for her to win by TKO/KO (+500) or submission (+800) are available too.
Cortez is the +170 underdog as she steps up to fight in her first UFC main event. You can get her at incredible odds to score a finish at +800, or win by decision at +230. There is a lot of value in Cortez this weekend as there’s a massive opportunity for her to become a legit contender and star.
Some other Namajunas vs Cortez betting lines include the over/under at 4.5 rounds and the fight being favored to go the distance at -250.
Namajunas vs Cortez Betting Preview
Rose Namajunas:
Namjaunas is a two-time UFC strawweight world champion and is looking to achieve gold at a second weight class. Her career MMA record is 12-6 and she has 2 TKO/KO wins and 5 submissions under her belt. She has taken home 6 post-fight bonuses in her UFC career.
Namajunas is a very talented martial artist, measuring in at 5’5” and having a 65” reach at the age of 32. She fights out of the orthodox stance where she averages 3.69 significant strikes landed per minute, along with 1.38 takedowns per 15 minutes in the octagon. Her 59% takedown defense will be tested on Saturday night against a very good wrestler.
🌹 Throwback to THAT Rose Namajunas KO on Zhang Weili
— Home of Fight (@Home_of_Fight) July 11, 2024
Tracy Cortez:
Cortez is the #11 ranked flyweight contender and is going into the biggest fight of her career this weekend. She is 11-1 in her MMA career and has 1 TKO/KO win and 1 submission. She has a win over Erin Blanchfield at Invicta FC 34 in 2019. She has won 11 straight fights going into this weekend’s main event bout.
Cortez is identical to Namjunas physically on paper, measuring in at 5’5” with a 65” reach as well–at the age of 30. She averages 4.11 significant strikes landed per minute in the octagon, but her strength is wrestling with her 2.33 takedowns landed per 15 minutes. She also has a solid 75% takedown defense.
Tracy Cortez feeling all of the emotions after that win 🥺 #NocheUFC pic.twitter.com/u5JAE1Nekf
— UFC (@ufc) September 17, 2023
AI Betting Picks
Over/Under – Under 4.5 rounds (+220)
Moneyline – Rose Namajunas (-200)
This is a fight that the sportsbooks want you to stay away from the big money. There aren’t many great lines available for this bout.
The official Namajunas vs Cortez betting prediction is that Namajunas will get her hand raised after showing her championship level of skill. There are a lot of factors going into this main event, though.
It’s tough to predict Rose Namajunas bouts because she is a very emotional person, as she has admitted. She looks almost too scared to make that walk, but she uses her tools to gain confidence as she gets closer to the opening glove touch. If she shows up and is ready to fight, she’s undoubtedly one of the best fighters in the world.
When Tracy Cortez fights, there are eyes watching. She has a solid fan base and has a great personality to someday become a superstar. It’s just whether or not she can put on performances to match that star potential. She hasn’t had a finish in the UFC yet, so a massive finish this weekend would skyrocket her stock.
These two UFC fighters are very talented and anything can happen in that cage, but we are banking on the proven world champion to be able to show up and find a way to win.
For the best value, Namajunas by submission is very interesting at +800. A tired Cortez in the later rounds might make mistakes in a scramble that exposes her neck.
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