Who Wins the Rematch? Pereira vs Prochazka 2 Prediction & AI Picks (Jun 29)
International fight week is here and UFC 303 is set for T-Mobile Arena this Saturday night. With the McGregor vs. Chandler fight getting scrapped, light heavyweights Alex Pereira and Jiri Prochazka agree to save this massive UFC event and fight on short notice.
This Pereira vs Prochazka 2 bout is a rematch of their title fight last year, resulting in a KO win for Pereira. Prochazka showed some success in the octagon that night but was flash KO’d in the second round.
Continue reading for a closer look into this matchup, along with an official Pereira vs Prochazka 2 prediction with great insight on how to break down UFC fights. Many UFC AI picks seen on the internet won’t give this amount of detail.
UFC 303 Main Event Information
Alex Pereira vs Jiri Prochazka |
Location of the Game: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV. |
Date and Time: June 29, 2024 – 10 PM ET Main card starts |
How to watch: watchlivesports.co |
Alex Pereira vs. Jiri Prochazka Odds
Driver | Moneyline | Total |
Jiri Prochazka | Ev | O 1.5 -150 |
Alex Pereira | -130 | U 1.5 +120 |
According to the current UFC odds, Pereira is going into fight week as the -150 betting favorite. He is also at -125 to win inside the distance and +550 to win a decision. For another signature TKO/KO win for Pereira, the odds are at -120.
Prochazka is going into this rematch as the +130 underdog. You can get him to win inside the distance at +180, and the most interesting line for the challenger is taking him to win by submission at +900.
Before making a Pereira vs Prochazka 2 prediction, some other betting lines to check out are the over/under of only 1.5 rounds, and this fight is favored to end inside the distance heavily at -550.
Betting Preview
Alex Pereira:
Pereira is a two-division UFC champion and two-division Glory Kickboxing champion with an MMA record of 10-2. He has finished 8 of his wins by TKO/KO and is 36 years old going into his 5th UFC world title fight. He has 4 post-fight bonuses and has beaten 5 former UFC world champions in just 8 UFC fights.
Pereira is a 6’4” orthodox kickboxer with a 79” reach. With his world-class striking ability, he averages 5.10 significant strikes landed per minute while absorbing 3.65 per minute. He also holds a modest 70% takedown defense, serving him well for an athlete with very little wrestling experience.
⚡️ A compilation of every Alex Pereira KO in the UFC
— Home of Fight (@Home_of_Fight) June 26, 2024
Jiri Prochazka:
Prochazka is a 30-4-1 professional mixed martial artist who is a former UFC light heavyweight world champion. He is a longtime martial artist with a Czech championship in Muay Thai and a world title in the Rizin organization in Japan. He has an incredible finish rate with 29 out of his 30 professional wins coming by TKO/KO or submission.
Prochazka matches the stature of Pereira pretty well, coming in at 6’3” with an 80” reach. He is 5 years younger than Pereira at 31, and averages 5.75 significant strikes landed per minute. He also averages 0.79 takedowns per 15 minutes and that might be shown this weekend.
Fight Week day 1 #ufc303 #theprefectstorm pic.twitter.com/mANCB6AcIn
— Jiri BJP Prochazka (@jiri_bjp) June 26, 2024
AI Betting Picks
- Over/Under – Over 1.5 rounds (-170)
- Moneyline – Jiri Prochazka (+130)
This is a very tough fight to predict because both men are so dangerous with those little four-ounce gloves that the fight can end at any moment. The advantage goes to Pereira if this is a kickboxing match, but the unpredictability of Prochazka can catch anyone off guard.
While analyzing and breaking down this fight, the Alex Pereira rounds will be the first two. He is going to be fresh, fast, and very dangerous. If Prochazka can make the champion work hard, while staying out of harm’s way, the later rounds can be very interesting.
If he can wrestle and wear down Pereira at all in the first two rounds, rounds 3-5 can really go south for the champion. There is a legit possibility that Jiri Prochazka KOs Pereira as well, it doesn’t have to be a clean kickboxing technique. An elbow in the clinch or ground and pound are areas of the fight where Prochazka needs to go.
With this all being said, the official Pereira vs Prochazka 2 prediction is that Prochazka will get the upset win and set up quite an interesting trilogy between two of the most dangerous men on the planet.
These two UFC fighters are going to leave it all on the line in front of the world, on two weeks’ notice. It will be surprising to see them make it the full 25 minutes, so be prepared to watch some high-intensity early on.
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