Renato Moicano vs Drew Dober Odds, AI Picks, and AI Prediction
Although this isn’t the slotted main event bout at this weekend’s UFC event, Renato Moicano and Drew Dober is a matchup that any true MMA fan will have circled on the calendar. This top-15 lightweight bout will be nonstop action from the opening bell.
Let’s take a deep dive into this Moicano vs Dober bout, figure out what the betting odds are saying, and then discuss the official Moicano vs Dober prediction ahead of placing any wagers on this weekend’s card.
Will the long layoff for Moicano be too much to overcome against the hard-hitting UFC veteran? Let’s take a closer look at this matchup.
Bout Information
| RENATO MOICANO vs DREW DOBER |
| Location of the Game: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States |
| Date and Time: February 03, 2024 – 7 PM ET main card start |
| Reason: UFC Fight Night Lightweight Bout |
| How to watch: ESPN+ |
AI Betting Picks
| ODDS | AI BETTING PICKS |
| OVER/UNDER | Over 1.5 rounds (+100) |
| MONEYLINE | Drew Dober (+155) |
This official Moicano vs Dober prediction is an interesting one to make because of what UFC fighter odds say. Moicano has been away from competing for too long to trust him as the betting favorite over Dober.
Dober has the power to end the fight at any moment. Moicano has the advantage in grappling and will always be dangerous if Dober makes a mistake and gives his backup, but every round starts with both men standing.
The crafty stance switching and inside low kicks from Moicano are going to be an interesting matchup with Dober’s pressure and power on the inside, but the power of Dober and the fact that he’s been active puts him over the top in this one.
Based on the UFC computer picks, if Moicano wins this one, it will be a boring decision where he is backpack on Dober for over 5 minutes in total. The lack of Moicano KOs in the past gives Dober the confidence in being able to handle the power coming back his way when he’s pressuring Moicano. This will lead to Dober fighting aggressively and letting his hands go with confidence when he’s in range.
Moicano vs Dober Prediction Odds
| FIGHTER | MONEYLINE | OVER/UNDER |
| RENATO MOICANO | -185 | O 1.5 |
| DREW DOBER | +155 | U 1.5 |
The available UFC odds have Moicano coming into this one as the -185 betting favorite. You can also bet on him to win inside the distance at +120 odds and he is +350 to win by a decision. This Moicano vs. Dober prediction can be looked at as a 50/50 fight if these numbers are throwing you off.
Dober is coming in as the +155 underdog, with odds of +160 to win inside the distance and +675 to win a decision. If you look at Dober’s record, he has only gone to a decision in two of his last twelve bouts.
This bout as a whole is favored to end inside the distance at -325, or you can wager at +250 odds for it to make it the full 15-minute limit. The over/under is set at 1.5 rounds with the u1.5 actually being favored at -130.
Betting Preview
Renato Moicano
Moicano is a Brazilian professional mixed martial artist with a 17-5-1 record and 10 submissions (zero KOs). He is a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and Muay Thai, now training at American Top Team. He is the former Jungle Fight interim featherweight champion and has two post-fight bonuses in the UFC so far.
Moicano is a 5’11” switched stances fighter with a 72” reach at 34 years old. In the UFC, he averages 4.75 significant strikes landed and 4.07 significant strikes absorbed per minute. He also lands 1.66 takedowns per 15 minutes and has a 74% takedown defense in the UFC.
Drew Dober
Dober is a 35-year-old American mixed martial artist with a 27-12 professional MMA record. Dober has 14 KOs and 6 submissions so far in his professional career. He is a brown belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and a black belt in Taekwondo. He currently holds the UFC record for most KOs in lightweight history and has earned seven post-fight bonuses in the UFC.
Dober is a 5’8” southpaw fighter with a 70” reach. In the UFC, he averages 4.58 significant strikes landed and 4.46 significant strikes absorbed per minute. He will mix in wrestling as needed, averaging 0.68 takedowns per 15 minutes and a modest 56% takedown defense.
Ready to take the Moicano vs Dober Prediction Odds for your sports betting to the next level with AI? Follow us @SportBettingAI on X and keep reading for continuous AI-powered betting picks.
