UFC 299: Sean O’Malley vs Marlon Vera Odds, AI Picks, and AI Prediction
The fight in which this weekend’s UFC event is built around is this bantamweight title matchup between ‘Suga’ Sean O’Malley and Marlon ‘Chito’ Vera. It’s a rematch almost four years after their first meeting when Vera finished O’Malley in the first round.
O’Malley’s championship run has been a major storyline in the sport of MMA, now he will attempt to defend his title for the first time against the person responsible for the only blemish on the champion’s record.
Let’s take a closer look at this incredible matchup between two elite UFC fighters and make an official O’Malley vs Vera prediction before you bet on either guy this weekend.
Bout Information
| SEAN O’MALLEY vs MARLON VERA |
| Location of the Game: Kaseya Center, Miami, Florida, United States |
| Date and Time: March 09, 2024 – 10 PM ET main card starts |
| Reason: UFC World Bantamweight Championship bout |
| How to watch: ESPN+ PPV |
AI Betting Picks
| ODDS | AI BETTING PICKS |
| OVER/UNDER | Under 4.5 rounds (+125) |
| MONEYLINE | Sean O’Malley (-260) |
The thought process of many ‘experts’ and whoever helps make UFC AI picks on the internet has been that the “Vera rounds” are the 4th and the 5th. He has the experience training and going into those rounds, and people cite the Petr Yan fight for O’Malley showing fatigue at the end of only three rounds.
First, that Yan vs O’Malley fight was a sprint from start to finish; and second, O’Malley takes his conditioning very seriously and will be ready for 25 minutes in the shape he’s in. The factor that many people don’t realize is that the fighter who’s controlling the pace usually does the better job not gassing-out.
This O’Malley vs. Vera bout has the chance to be one of the coolest fights of the year. Vera has had instances of not “showing up” in moments in the octagon. But we have to assume he’s going to truly ready to go out on his shield in there.
After a lot of film study and breaking down the styles of both fighters, the O’Malley vs. Vera prediction for UFC 299 is that O’Malley gets his hand raised. We predict that he will even get the finish, proving that he is on another level than everybody else.
O’Malley vs Vera Prediction Odds
| FIGHTER | MONEYLINE | OVER/UNDER |
| SEAN O’MALLEY | -265 | O 4.5 |
| MARLON VERA | +215 | U 4.5 |
O’Malley is going into this weekend as the sizeable -265 betting favorite. Also, he seeks revenge from the first meeting with Vera. You can also bet on him to win inside the distance at +225 and by decision at +125.
Vera is owning the underdog role, coming in at +215 odds to realize his dream of becoming world champion. You can get Vera to win inside the distance at +300 and by decision at +700.
Other interesting UFC odds to bet on include the over/under of 4.5 rounds. Along with this fight going the distance (-130) or not (+100). Make sure you look over the prop bets after absorbing the information from this O’Malley vs. Vera prediction.
Betting Preview
Sean O’Malley
O’Malley is a 17-1 professional MMA fighter with 12 wins by KO and 1 submission on his resume. He is a brown belt in BJJ, UFC champion, and ranked as the #8 fighter pound-for-pound in the world right now. He is tied for the most post-fight bonuses in bantamweight history with 8.
“Suga” is at 5’11” switch stance fighter with a 72” reach. So far in his highlight-filled UFC career, O’Malley averages a whopping 7.25 significant strikes landed and only 3.51 significant strikes absorbed per minute. He lands and defense strikes at a 61% rate each. He also holds a modest 62% takedown defense.
Marlon Vera
Vera is an Equadorian professional mixed martial artist with a 23-8-1 record and has 8 TKO/KO wins and 10 submissions. With an incredible underdog story, he is comfortable being the betting underdog for his first title fight. He holds the record for most finished in bantamweight history. With 10, and has taken home 8 post-fight bonuses in the company.
Vera is at 5’8” switch stance fighter with a 70” reach. In the octagon, he averages 4.37 significant strikes landed and 5.16 of them absorbed per minute. He adds only 0.58 takedowns per 15 minutes and has a 70% takedown defense.
Ready to take the O’Malley vs Vera Prediction Odds for your sports betting to the next level with AI? Follow us @SportBettingAI on X and keep reading for continuous AI-powered betting picks.
