UFC Fight Night: Tai Tuivasa vs Marcin Tybura Odds, AI Picks, and AI Prediction
Following a historic UFC 299 event in Miami, fight night is back with another UFC event in the APEX this weekend with a solid card that two ranked heavyweights will headline. Tai Tuivasa will be meeting Marcin Tybura in the octagon on Saturday night.
Coming off of disappointing losses, both men are looking for a big win to keep themselves in the title picture going forward. This Tuivasa vs. Tybura bout will be action-packed from the start and you won’t want to blink because one shot can end the fight instantly with these two.
Let’s take a closer look at this heavyweight matchup by previewing the Tuivasa vs. Tybura odds and doing plenty of film study on these two powerful athletes. Who will be able to land that KO shot? UFC computer picks usually don’t look much further into fights than the numbers, which won’t always work in MMA at this high of a level.
Bout Information
| TAI TUIVASA vs MARCIN TYBURA |
| Location of the Game: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States |
| Date and Time: March 16, 2024 – 7 PM ET main card starts |
| Reason:UFC Heavyweight Main Event bout |
| How to watch: ESPN+ |
AI Betting Picks
| ODDS | AI BETTING PICKS |
| OVER/UNDER | Over 1.5 rounds (-145) |
| MONEYLINE | Marcin Tybura (-105) |
After looking over the Tuivasa vs Tybura odds and studying the styles of both fighters, this proves to be a very tough fight to bet on this weekend. You should look at this as a coin flip and whoever will be able to hurt the other guy first will mostly likely win.
Heavyweight MMA is a very different animal from the other weight classes in the sport. Especially in this small UFC APEX cage where they are basically forced to engage with each other on their feet.
UFC fighters who have this much power can always win a fight, no matter what position they put themselves into. With that being said, we are betting on Marcin Tybura to get his hand raised on Saturday night.
This was tough to do because Tuivasa is such a fan-favorite and fun to watch, along with being very dangerous–even when it looks like he’s breaking inside the octagon. The reasoning behind this pick is that Tybura has more ways to win.
Tybura should try to close the distance and take this fight to the ground. Wrestling Tuivasa up against the cage and dragging him down will really zap the energy out of the big man and make it hard for him to land that knockout punch.
O’Malley vs Vera Prediction Odds
| FIGHTER | MONEYLINE | OVER/UNDER |
| TAI TUIVASA | -125 | O 1.5 |
| MARCIN TYBURA | -105 | U 1.5 |
According to the Tuivasa vs Tybura odds, Tuivasa is currently a slight -125 betting favorite this week. He is also at -115 odds to win inside the distance and +925 to win a decision.
Tybura is the -105 underdog right now, but don’t be surprised if these lines close at EVEN odds by the time this weekend rolls around. You can get Tybura to win inside the distance at +115 and by decision at +800.
You can also bet on this bout to go the distance at crazy +700 odds, which means oddsmakers think these two heavyweights have no chance of making it the 25 minutes. According to UFC odds, the over/under is at 1.5 rounds with the ‘over’ at -140.
Betting Preview
Tai Tuivasa
Tuivasa is a 30-year-old Australian heavyweight fighter who is the #9 in the UFC heavyweight rankings. Tai Tuivasa’s record is 14-6 with 13 wins by TKO/KO so far. The lifelong fighter also has a 14-2 kickboxing record and a 5-2 professional boxing record. He has won 5 post-fight bonuses in the UFC, becoming a fan-favorite in the sport due to his exciting fighting style and celebratory antics after big wins.
Tuivasa is a 6’2” southpaw with a 75” reach. In the octagon, “Bam Bam” averages 3.98 significant strikes landed and 4.98 significant strikes absorbed per minute. With Tuivasa’s strength being striking, he does whatever he can to keep the fight on the feet–holding a 54% takedown defense.
Marcin Tybura
Tybura is a 6’3” Polish heavyweight MMA fighter with a 78” reach fighting out of the orthodox stance. He was a former M-1 Heavyweight and Heavyweight Grand Prix champion before signing with the UFC. In the UFC, he has earned three post-fight performance bonuses.
Marcin Tybura’s KO total is at 9 right now, along with 6 submissions. He averages 3.55 significant strikes landed and 3.35 significant strikes absorbed per minute in the octagon. Along with his power, Tybura lands 1.39 takedowns per 15 minutes and holds a solid 79% takedown defense.
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