UFC: Marcin Tybura vs. Serghei Spivac Betting Analysis, AI Picks and Prediction

Obtén esta imagen en: gettyimages.com | Detalles de la licencia Autor: Al Powers | Crédito: Zuffa LLC Derechos de autor: 2024 Zuffa LLC

Another UFC event is coming to the APEX in Las Vegas this weekend. While many fans aren’t interested in this small event, there are still plenty of ways to win some money. The main event on this weekend’s card is this heavyweight rematch between ranked fighters Tybura vs Spivac Prediction.

This Tybura vs Spivac bout is a very close matchup with many ways to win for both fighters. In their first meeting, Tybura won a decision in a pretty dominant fashion, beating Spivac in all aspects of mixed martial arts.
To make an accurate Tybura vs Spivac prediction, we need to understand how this UFC AI pick is made and discuss the reasoning behind it. Breaking down the betting lines, stylistic matchups, and current form of these fighters.

Fight Information

Tybura vs Spivac 2 (UFC Heavyweight Main Event)

Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

Date & Time: August 10, 2024 – 7 PM ET Main card starts

How to watch: ESPN+

Tybura vs Spivac 2 Pick and Prediction

Tybura vs Spivac Prediction Odds

According to the current UFC odds, Tybura is the +135 underdog going into this rematch. You can get him winning by TKO/KO at +350 and by submission at +650. There is a lot of value in this underdog pick, especially for someone who won the first meeting between these two UFC fighters.

Spivac is coming in as the -155 betting favorite this weekend. You can find him at +125 to win inside the distance, including +200 to win by TKO/KO and +800 to win by submission.
Some other lines to look at before making your own Tybura vs Spivac prediction is the over/under 3.5 round total that is set, along with this fight at -200 odds to end inside the distance. Will these two big men make it all 25 minutes?

Tybura vs Spivac Betting Prediction

Marcin Tybura:

Tybura is a Polish UFC heavyweight with a 25-8 professional record, winning 16 fights inside the distance. He is a black belt in BJJ and has four post-fight bonuses in the UFC. Is also a former M-1 heavyweight Grand Prix champion. Furthermore, he is second all-time in decision wins for UFC heavyweights as well, with 7 total.

Polish Power! 🇵🇱⚡️@MarcinTybura bringing that heavyweight energy to #UFCVegas88 tomorrow! pic.twitter.com/O0PPgbsSXO

— UFC Europe (@UFCEurope) March 15, 2024

Tybura is a 6’3” orthodox mixed martial artist with a 78” reach at the age of 38. He looks to be in very good shape compared to his past and looking to make a run at the title. In the UFC, Tybura averages 3.60 significant strikes landed and 3.35 absorbed per minute. He also lands 1.43 takedowns per 15 minutes and holds a solid 79% takedown defense.

Serghei Spivac:

Spivac is a 16-4 Maldovan UFC heavyweight contender with 14 finishes on his record. Before going to the UFC, Spivac won and defended his belt multiple times in the WWFC organization. He has the highest takedown accuracy in UFC heavyweight history at 64.3% and has landed the third most takedowns in the division at 27.

🥊: UFC
📺: UFC Vegas 95
🚨: Final Faceoff

🌟 Final faceoff between @MarcinTybura and Serghei Spivac for #UFCVegas95. #UFC #MMA

🥇Credit:@UFCEspanol pic.twitter.com/XFOvHWkXdw

— Popcorn Catalyst 🧪🍿 (@PopcornCatalyst) August 9, 2024

Spivac is only 29 years old, standing at 6’3” with a 78” reach while fighting out of the orthodox stance. He averages 3.54 significant strikes landed and 3.79 absorbed per minute in the octagon. He adds a whopping 4.56 takedowns per 15 minutes at a record rate, along with a modest 70% takedown defense.

Tybura vs Spivac Prediction AI Picks

Over/Under – o3.5 rounds (-115)

Moneyline – Marcin Tybura (+135)

The latest Marcin Tybura fight was one of his most impressive performances yet, a first-round submission of Tai Tuivasa. He is a talented grappler, and knows how to use those skills to win rounds on scorecards, but will that submission open up more confidence to find finishes on the ground?

Serghei Spivac’s current status as a fighter is unknown because he hasn’t competed since last September when he lost to Gane by TKO.
He is still a top-10 heavyweight and in a great spot to get back into title contention.

The Polar Bear is looking good on the scale 💪

Serghei Spivac weighs in at 238 pounds for tomorrow’s #UFCVegas95 main event! pic.twitter.com/OFfbAzvOqF

— UFC (@ufc) August 9, 2024

After going over as much film as possible, and understanding the betting lines set for this fight, the official Tybura vs Spivac prediction is that Tybura gets the job done and gets the big win. This is a coin-flip of a fight for us, even though the oddsmakers give the slight edge to Spivac.

- In the UFC, rematches go to the previous winner more often than they don’t, so that’s a factor here. When a fight is this close, especially in the heavyweight division, anything that can point to a logical pick is good to use.
- Stylistically, this is a fight that Tybura has confidence in and knows he can control. With that being said, literally anything can happen in a UFC heavyweight fight at this level. To slightly hedge this underdog moneyline bet, we are taking the over 3.5 round total as well–with the reasoning of this fight will go to Spivac if it lasts that long. It would be a wrestling match with Spivac controlling Tybura on the ground for the middle rounds.

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