Vitor Petrino vs Tyson Pedro Odds, AI Picks, and AI Prediction
After an incredible UFC event in Mexico City last weekend, the show is back in town in Las Vegas at the APEX with a great card in store. The co-main event will be between light heavyweights Vitor Petrino and Tyson Pedro, a matchup between hype train and battle-tested veteran.
This Petrino vs. Pedro bout will be one you need to tune in for this weekend with two powerful, skilled fighters looking to break their way into the top 15 of the light heavyweight division. There are multiple technical factors going into the betting pick for this one, much deeper than the usual UFC AI picks you see online.
Let’s take a closer look at the Petrino vs. Pedro odds, break down the tape on both men and talk about what the best betting picks are to make on this co-main event coming to you on Saturday evening.
Bout Information
| VITOR PETRINO vs TYSON PEDRO |
| Location of the Game: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States |
| Date and Time: March 02, 2024 – 4 PM ET Main Card start |
| Reason: UFC light heavyweight co-main event bout |
| How to watch: ESPN+ |
AI Betting Picks
| ODDS | AI BETTING PICKS |
| OVER/UNDER | Over 1.5 rounds (-145) |
| MONEYLINE | Tyson Pedro (+245) |
After looking over the Petrino vs. Pedro odds and studying the most recent performances from both of these talented men, this betting prediction is quite difficult to make.
When you see UFC fighters with the hype and momentum that Petrino has, it feels like they are meant to win these kinds of fights. But the fact that this is a small event with a limited crowd in the UFC APEX, makes the skills of both guys hold a greater value.
Skill for skill, Pedro is just as good, if not better than Petrino. The coaching, game plan, and fight IQ of Pedro stick out in this case. With all this taken into account, we are going with Pedro to get his hand raised as the big underdog this weekend.
The reasoning behind this pick is Pedro’s ability to control the fight with low leg kicks, managing distance, and accuracy. City Kickboxing knows the tendencies of Petrino because they aren’t hard to spot. The 26-year-old’s left hand is constantly moving down and setting up for that check left hook he loves to land, along with him trying to catch leg kicks to get into a takedown.
There will most likely be grappling involved after taking a few calf kicks and not being comfortable striking at range with Pedro, so this fight will drag onto the second and third rounds.
Petrino vs Pedro Odds
| FIGHTER | MONEYLINE | OVER/UNDER |
| VITOR PETRINO | -320 | O 1.5 |
| TYSON PEDRO | +245 | U 1.5 |
According to the available UFC odds, Petrino is coming into this weekend as the sizeable betting favorite at -320. You can get him to win inside the distance at -145, via TKO/KO at +165, via submission at +275, and by decision at +400.
Pedro is the +245 underdog, a role he enjoys and feels comfortable in. You can get the lifelong martial artist to win inside the distance at +360 and other exact methods of victory at even greater underdog odds. Lots of value in a pick for Tyson Pedro this weekend.
Some other key Petrino vs. Pedro odds going into the weekend are the over/under set at an early 1.5 round total, along with this fight being favored to end inside the distance at -275.
Betting Preview
Vitor Petrino
Vitor Petrino is a Brazilian mixed martial artist who has a 10-0 professional MMA record with 7 TKO/KO wins and 1 submission. At only 26 years old, he now has three UFC fights under his belt after earning a contract in 2022 at Dana White’s Contender Series, knocking out current UFC prospect Rodolfo Bellato.
Petrino’s bouts in 2023 showed the massive potential this young man has with his incredible size and strength, paired with fast hands and power. Standing at 6’2” with a 77” reach, light heavyweight might not be his permanent home as his body continues to grow. Also, in the octagon, Petrino averages 3.07 significant strikes landed to 2.65 significant strikes absorbed per minute. He also has 4.15 takedowns per 15-minute average in the UFC.
Tyson Pedro
Tyson Pedro is an Australian MMA Fighter who has been in the UFC since 2016 when he earned Performance of the Night in his win over Khalil Rountree by submission in his debut. Pedro’s record in professional MMA is 10-4 with 5 TKO/KO wins and 5 submissions.
Pedro is a 6’3” orthodox fighter with a 79” reach, fighting out of City Kickboxing at this stage of his career. In the octagon, he averages 3.11 significant strikes landed and 2.53 absorbed per minute. He also gets just under 1 takedown per 15 minutes at 0.94 and holds a modest 52% takedown defense.
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