Skye Nicolson vs. Sarah Mahfoud Prediction, Odds, AI Picks and Fight Analysis (Apr 6th)
With an important boxing event coming this weekend in Las Vegas, the biggest fight on paper is this women’s featherweight bout for the vacant WBC title between Skye Nicolson and Sarah Mahfoud on Saturday night.
Nicolson is in search of her first world title and Mahfoud is hungry to get back to having gold wrapped around her waist. This is a great matchup between the newcomer and the older veteran of the sport.
Let’s take a closer look at factors and nuances of this fight that most computer boxing picks don’t give you insight on, and then make an official Nicolson vs. Mahfoud prediction before you place any bets this weekend.
Bout Information
SKYE NICOLSON vs SARAH MAHFOUD |
Location of the Game: Bleaulive Theater in Fontainebleau Las Vegas, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States |
Date and Time: April 06, 2024 – 8:40 PM ET estimated ring walk |
Reason: Vacant WBC featherweight title bout |
How to watch: DAZN |
AI Betting Picks
ODDS | AI BETTING PICKS |
OVER/UNDER | Under 8.5 rounds (+850) |
MONEYLINE | Skye Nicolson (-1000) |
This is a closer matchup between these two boxing fighters than what the odds suggest. There is a clear advantage that Nicolson has with her speed and athletic ability while boxing off of her back foot, but Mahfoud is ready to leave it all in the ring.
After studying the styles of both, the official Nicolson vs Mahfoud prediction is that Nicolson will win the bout after winning on points.
The only way this doesn’t happen is if rounds 1-6 are Sarah Mahfoud’s rounds. She needs to be ready and start fast before Nicolson gets her timing down and starts stinging her with counters while moving around the ring.
This is a tough matchup for Mahfoud because she doesn’t seem comfortable being the aggressor and when she is, she is not difficult to get reads on. Nicolson is a very high-level boxer off of her back foot–a very similar style and skill set as Sunny Edwards.
With this being an almost impossible fight to bet on, you should bet on the under to hit if you NEED to place a bet. The odd chance of a corner stoppage or an injury happening could have you cash out on massive +850 odds. But there really isn’t a smart bet to make on this one.
Nicolson vs Mahfoud Prediction Odds
FIGHTER | MONEYLINE | OVER/UNDER |
SKYE NICOLSON | -1000 | O 8.5 |
SARAH MAHFOUD | +600 | U 8.5 |
According to boxing odds, Nicolson is going into her first world title fight as the massive -1000 betting favorite. You can also get her to win by KO at +1000 and by decision at -550.
Even if the oddsmakers are overlooking Mahfoud and giving her +600 odds to win the fight, you shouldn’t. She is also coming in at +2000 to win by KO and +850 to win a decision.
You can also bet on this Nicolson vs. Mahfoud bout at +740 odds to end inside the distance and the over/under at 8.5 rounds.
Betting Preview
Skye Nicolson
Nicolson is a 28-year-old Australian boxer who has been competing at a high level for years. As an amateur, she won the gold at the Commonwealth Games in 2018, and then competed at the 2020 Olympics before she lost in the quarterfinals. She also won a bronze medal at the 2016 World Championships and accumulated an amateur record of 107-32. She is currently the interim WBC featherweight champion but is going for real gold for the first time this weekend.
Skye Nicolson KOs only 11% of her opponents with her first stoppage win coming in her most recent bout against Lucy Wildheart. She is a 5’5” southpaw with a 65 ½” reach at the age of 28. She has completed 73 professional rounds since making her debut in 2022, dominating along the way.
Sarah Mahfoud
Mahfoud is a Faroese-born Danish former world champion boxer with a record of 14-1 with 3 KOs under her belt. She is now 34 years old and coming off a 3-0 2023 campaign after losing her belt to the great Amanda Serrano in 2022. She is currently ranked as the world’s third best active female featherweight by The Ring.
Mahfoud is listed at the same height as Nicolson, but there’s no reach listed anywhere; there won’t be any significant advantage there, though, so don’t worry about that while making your own Nicolson vs Mahfoud prediction. She fights out of the orthodox stance and has knocked out only 21% of her opponents as well. She has the edge in professional experience; completing 107 professional rounds since her debut in 2017.
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