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Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Odds, AI Picks and Analysis (May 7th)

Luguentz Dort #5 of the Oklahoma City Thunder celebrates a made basket during the first half against the Dallas Mavericks at Paycom Center on April 14, 2024 in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.
Home / NBA News / Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Odds, AI Picks and Analysis (May 7th)

Mavs Seal Series Win, Thunder Sweep Pelicans

The Oklahoma City Thunder face off against the Dallas Mavericks in what promises to be an exciting battle! With the playoffs out of reach, will the Thunder play spoiler or can the Mavericks secure a win? Check out our in-depth look at Mavericks vs Thunder odds, AI picks, and expert betting insights to help you make the best wagers for this Tuesday night showdown.

Mavericks Close Out Clippers in Six Games

  • Kyrie Irving led Dallas with 30 points and 5 threes in their series-clinching 114-101 win over the Clippers.
  • Luka Doncic added a triple-double with 28 points, 13 assists, and 7 rebounds.
  • The Mavericks shot a scorching 48.2% from the field and hit 12 threes.

Thunder Sweep Pelicans

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jalen Williams each scored 24 points as OKC dominated the Pelicans 97-89 on the road.
  • The Thunder held New Orleans to just 89 points and swept the series in four games.
  • The combined score fell well short of the 208.5 point over/under.

Mavericks vs. Thunder Betting Preview (May 7th)

  • The Mavericks are favored by 3.5 points despite going 13-19 as underdogs this season.
  • Dallas boasts a strong home record (27-17) and has covered the spread in three straight games.
  • The Thunder lead the West (57-25) and have won nine straight games.
  • OKC is 51-14 as favorites and has covered the spread in 38 of those games at home (28-15 ATS).
  • Today’s over/under is set at 218 points. Dallas averages more points than this (231.7) while the Thunder have gone under in their last two games.

Game Information

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Location of the Game: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City
Date and Time: Tuesday, May 7th 9:30 ET
Reason: 2024 NBA Eastern Conference Showdown
How to watch: watchlivesports.co

AI Predictions and Sport Betting AI Picks

These are the NBA Computer Picks for tonight’s NBA Schedule game:

TEAM SERIES AI PICKS Sport Betting AI PICKS
Mavericks 0 118 235 SPREAD
DAL +3.5
 MONEYLINE
DAL +136
 TOTAL
OVER 218
Thunder 0 117
  • AI Picks: Dallas Mavericks 118 – Oklahoma City Thunder 117
  • Sport Betting AI Picks: ATS Mavericks +3.5 | ML Mavericks +136 | OVER 218

Mavericks vs Thunder Odds

Next, we have the NBA odds for this NBA Matchup.

 

Dallas Mavericks Game Analysis

Doncic Struggles from Deep, But Mavs Bolster Defense

Doncic’s Shot Not Falling, But Defense Steps Up:

  • Luka Doncic is averaging a solid 29.2 points per game over his last five games, but his three-point shooting has dipped to 21.8%. Typically, he averages 4.1 made threes per game at a 38.2% clip.

Mavericks: Offensive Powerhouse on the Road:

  • Dallas boasts the 8th highest-scoring offense in the NBA, averaging 117.9 points per game overall.
  • On the road, they’re even more potent, ranking 5th in the league with an average of 116.2 points per contest.
  • The Mavericks are a top-three team in both three-point attempts (39.5 per game) and three-pointers made (14.6 per game).

Defense on the Rise:

  • While ranked a middle-of-the-pack defense overall (18th in points allowed at 114.6 per game), Dallas has shown improvement lately.
  • Over their last five games, they’ve clamped down defensively, allowing a mere 98.6 points per game (4th best in the league during that stretch).

Three-Point Vulnerability:

  • One area of concern: the Mavericks struggle to defend the three-point line. Opponents average 13.0 threes made per game against Dallas (18th in the NBA).
  • Even worse, opposing teams have surpassed their season average in three-pointers against the Mavericks in 61% of their games.

Injury Report:

The NBA reports the following injuries:

  • Keep an eye on Luka Doncic’s status (knee – probable).
  • Maxi Kleber (shoulder) and Olivier-Maxence Prosper (ankle) are out.

Oklahoma City Thunders Game Analysis

Thunder Boasting League’s Top Offense, Stifling Defense

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Leads Scoring Surge:

  • According to the NBA player stats, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is on fire, averaging 24.8 points per game over his last five games while shooting a sizzling 47.4% from the field. He’s also contributing 5.2 assists and 5 rebounds per game during this stretch.
  • For the season, he’s a scoring machine at 30.1 points per game, adding 6.2 assists and 5.5 rebounds on average.
  • Jalen Williams has chipped in with 18.8 points per game over the last five contests, averaging 19.1 points per game overall.

Thunder: Offensive Juggernaut

  • The Thunder boast the NBA’s 3rd highest-scoring offense overall, averaging a whopping 120.1 points per game.
  • At home, they’re even more potent, ranking 2nd in the league at 122.5 points per game.
  • Oklahoma City leads the league in three-point shooting, connecting on a remarkable 38% of their attempts from beyond the arc.

Defensive Force Emerges:

  • The Thunder have transformed into a defensive powerhouse. They currently rank 10th in points allowed per game (111.6) overall.
  • Over the last five games, they’ve been nearly impenetrable, leading the league by allowing a mere 88.8 points per game.
  • Opponents have consistently struggled against OKC all season, failing to reach their season average scoring in over 62% of their matchups.

Steals, Blocks Highlight Defensive Prowess:

  • The Thunder excel at disrupting plays, ranking 1st in the NBA in both steals and blocked shots.
  • Rebounding remains an area for improvement, as they sit at 26th in the league with 42 rebounds per game.

Three-Point Defense a Work in Progress:

  • While the overall defense is impressive, Oklahoma City allows opponents to shoot 35.9% from three (21st in the NBA).
  • Opposing teams have surpassed their season average in three-pointers against the Thunder in over 57% of their games.

Injury Report:

The Thunder have a clean bill of health with no reported injuries.

 

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Head-to-Head

Thunder Hold Slight Edge in Recent Matchups, High-Scoring Games Expected

Thunder Favorable Historically:

  • Looking at the last 3 meetings where the Thunder were favored, they hold a 2-1 record according to the NBA team stats.

Mavericks Cover More Often:

  • In the most recent 3 head-to-head matchups, Dallas has covered the spread twice (2-1) despite Oklahoma City outscoring them by an average of 7 points per game.

High-Scoring Trend:

  • The past 5 meetings between these teams have been shootouts, averaging a combined 239 points per game. This trend towards high-scoring contests is further supported by the over/under record, which sits at 4-1 in favor of the over.

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