UFC 300: Alex Pereira vs Jamahal Hill Odds, AI Picks, and AI Prediction
The biggest UFC event that most of today’s fans have experienced yet will be taking place this weekend at UFC 300 in Las Vegas. The main event of this historic card will be a light heavyweight title fight between Alex Pereira and Jamahal Hill.
Pereira has taken the UFC by storm since starting his MMA career only a few years ago, and Hill has had to watch him take his belt while being stuck on the sidelines rehabbing a ruptured achilles.
To understand this matchup between two of the most dangerous men on the UFC roster, we need to break down the Pereira vs. Hill odds and study the fighting styles of both champions. Let’s dive into this matchup and discuss what most UFC AI picks are missing when giving betting advice.
Bout Information
| ALEX PEREIRA vs JAMAHAL HILL |
| Location of the Game: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States |
| Date and Time: April 13, 2024 – 10 PM ET Main card starts |
| Reason: UFC Light Heavyweight Title Main Event bout |
| How to watch: ESPN+ PPV |
AI Betting Picks
| ODDS | AI BETTING PICKS |
| OVER/UNDER | Under 1.5 rounds (+140) |
| MONEYLINE | Alex Pereira (-130) |
These Pereira vs Hill odds only make this a tougher fight to bet on than it already is. After breaking down the film and the fight styles of these two elite UFC fighters, it’s clear that anything can happen in that octagon on Saturday night.
Pereira is a high-level kickboxer who likes to stay at a distance where he can land heavy leg kicks that are very difficult to defend, and force his opponent to either cross the distance and be in danger of a counter left hook or slowly break them down by cutting off the octagon.
Hill is a very good athlete. He played sports his whole life and it shows in his fighting style. He is long, fast, and very aggressive. There are even some rumors that his work ethic wasn’t great until he realized he was at the championship level. He continues to get better at everything and still holds elite speed and power in his hands.
This is a coin flip of a fight, but you really can’t bet against the power of Pereira right now. Hill isn’t far removed from a brutal achilles injury and that has to be a cause for concern.
If anything, Hill is going to force this into a war and someone is going to get out of there in the first 7 minutes.
Pereira vs Hill Odds
| FIGHTER | MONEYLINE | OVER/UNDER |
| ALEX PEREIRA | -130 | O 1.5 |
| JAMAHAL HILL | EV | U 1.5 |
According to UFC odds, Pereira is at -130 this week. You can also get him to win inside the distance at +110, by KO/TKO at +125, and by submission at +2000–meaning that a Pereira submission will most likely not happen.
Hill is the +110 underdog, but don’t be surprised if these lines change as the fight week goes on. Lots of bettors will be taking action on this line. You can get Hill to win inside the distance at +140, by KO/TKO at +160, and by submission at +900.
Some other Pereira vs Hill odds are the over/under at 1.5 rounds and this bout being favored to end inside the distance heavily at -450.
Betting Preview
Alex Pereira
Pereira is a Brazilian mixed martial artist who made a name for himself as a Glory kickboxing world champion in two weight classes. He is now a two-time UFC champion in two weight classes as well. He is a Glory kickboxing Hall of Famer and in the UFC has won four post-fight bonuses already since the end of 2021. Pereira currently holds a 9-2 professional MMA record with 7 TKO/KO wins.
Pereira is a towering 6’4” orthodox striker with a 79” reach. He averages 5.00 significant strikes landed per minute at a 62% accuracy. He also holds his own enough to keep the fight where he wants it to be the majority of the time by having a 70% takedown defense. Will that be tested this weekend against Hill?
Jamahal Hill
Hill is an American MMA fighter and former UFC light heavyweight champion before vacating his belt because of a ruptured achilles injury. He has a professional record of 12-1 with 7 TKO/KO wins as well. Since earning his UFC contract at Dana White’s Contender Series in 2019, he has gone 6-1 in the company with four post-fight bonuses.
Hill matches Pereira’s frame with a height of 6’4”. And a reach of 79” while fighting out of the southpaw stance. He averages a whopping 7.31 significant strikes landed and only 3.35 absorbed per minute in the UFC. He also has zero takedowns to his name in his UFC career.
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