Brendan Allen vs Chris Curtis Prediction, Odds, AI Picks, and Bout Analysis (Apr 6th)
The UFC is back in action this weekend from the APEX with an interesting event full of a lot of unknown names getting a chance to be showcased in front of fight fans on the main stage. The main event of this UFC event will be a rematch of ranked middleweights Brendan Allen and Chris Curtis.
This Allen vs. Curtis bout will be a great matchup this time around as Allen is now entering his prime and looking to catch Curtis just outside of his prime. Will the momentum behind Allen be too much for Curtis, who is looking to make the trek to the title one last time?
Let’s take a closer look at this main event fight and discuss what our Allen vs. Curtis prediction will be this weekend. Before you place any bets on this card, read through the rest of this analysis which has more information and insight than most UFC AI picks you will find on the internet.
Bout Information
| BRENDAN ALLEN vs CHRIS CURTIS |
| Location of the Game: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States |
| Date and Time: April 06, 2024 – 10 PM ET main card starts |
| Reason: UFC Middleweight Main Event bout |
| How to watch: ESPN+ |
AI Betting Picks
| ODDS | AI BETTING PICKS |
| OVER/UNDER | Over 2.5 rounds (-115) |
| MONEYLINE | Brendan Allen (-220) |
Even though Curtis got the best of Allen when they first met in the octagon in 2021. Allen is hitting his stride as a legit contender at 28 years old. The official Allen vs Curtis prediction for this weekend is that Allen will get the job done.
The size and strength of Allen in the grappling department are going to be a lot for Curtis, along with the confidence that Allen has after rattling off 6 wins in a row since his loss to Curtis. Curtis trains a lot and he’s 36 years old now–meaning his body has a greater chance of not being 100% when he enters the octagon.
When UFC fighters at this level meet in the octagon, anything can happen. The styles are what makes the fight and this time around, the adjustments will be key for Allen. He is clicking on all cylinders going into this weekend and that deserves a bet in his favor. Don’t be surprised if he submits Curtis in the later rounds.
Allen vs Curtis Prediction Odds
| FIGHTER | MONEYLINE | OVER/UNDER |
| BRENDAN ALLEN | -220 | O 4.5 |
| CHRIS CURTIS | +18 | U 4.5 |
Allen is going into this weekend as the -220 betting favorite over the man who gave him his last loss in 2021. He is at -110 odds to win inside the distance, along with +450 to win by KO/TKO and +115 to win by submission.
Curtis is the +180 underdog in this rematch bout, along with being at +240 to get the job done before the 25-minute limit. He is at +325 to win by KO/TKO and +2500 to win by submission.
According to other UFC odds, this fight is favored to end inside the distance at -285, meaning that oddsmakers believe someone will get the finish. The over/under is set at 2.5 rounds as well. These are important lines to take advantage of after you see our Allen vs Curtis prediction.
Betting Preview
Brendan Allen
Allen is a UFC middleweight contender #6 in the promotion. Before his UFC career, he won an International Mixed Martial Arts Federation amateur championship and an LFA middleweight championship as a pro. He also collected three Performance of the Night bonuses in the UFC so far at the age of 28.
Brendan Allen’s submissions are his biggest threat, accumulating 14 wins via submission. Along with 5 TKO/KO wins in his professional career with a record of 23-5. He is a 6’2” orthodox striker with a 75” reach–averaging 3.87 significant strikes landed per minute in the octagon. He adds 1.36 takedowns per 15 minutes and a 1.7 submission average per 15 minutes in the octagon as well.
Chris Curtis
Curtis is the #14 UFC middleweight and he has a professional MMA record of 31-10 at the age of 36. Before making his way into the UFC, Curtis fought and won championships in promotions like PMMAC, Z Promotions (middleweight and welterweight), and CES. He also competed in the PFL as well. In the UFC, he has collected two Performance of the Night bonuses and one Fight of the Night bonus.
Chris Curtis KO’d 17 opponents so far, along with a single submission win in 2014 at a regional show. He is a 5’10” orthodox striker with a 75” reach, averaging 5.96 significant strikes landed per minute. He is not a grappler, but he holds an impressive 92% takedown defense in the octagon.
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