Alexander Hernandez vs Damon Jackson Odds, AI Picks, and Betting Prediction (Apr 6th)
The co-main event bout this weekend at this UFC event will be between featherweights Alexander Hernandez and Damon Jackson. These two are UFC veterans who are fighting with a sense of urgency coming off losses.
This is a very closely matched fight with a lot of factors that most UFC AI picks don’t take note of, so we will take a deep dive into this matchup and discuss some of the keys to how this fight might play out.
Let’s discuss the Hernandez vs Jackson betting lines and break down the styles of both UFC fighters to determine what the outcome will be on Saturday night.
Bout Information
| ALEXANDER HERNANDEZ vs DAMON JACKSON |
| Location of the Game: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States |
| Date and Time: April 06, 2024 – 10 PM ET main card starts |
| Reason: UFC featherweight Co-Main Event bout |
| How to watch: ESPN+ |
AI Betting Picks
| ODDS | AI BETTING PICKS |
| OVER/UNDER | Under 2.5 rounds (-175) |
| MONEYLINE | Alexander Hernandez (-200) |
This Hernandez vs. Jackson bout is very difficult to predict and bet on this week because the fight is much closer than what the odds say. Both fighters have looked flat and not great in their careers and they aren’t elite performers who always show up on fight night.
With that being said, the biggest advantage is the speed and power of Hernandez. The official Hernandez vs Jackson betting prediction is that this fight will be finished within the first two rounds, most likely by Hernandez.
The under 2.5 round total is the best bet to make on this bout, especially since Hernandez isn’t necessarily very valuable to bet on.
Jackson gets hit way too much and one of these days his chin isn’t going to magically hold up as well as it has over the years. Hernandez has some pop in his hands when he feels good in there. But you can’t count out Jackson, especially if Hernandez comes out of the gates flat.
Hernandez vs Jackson Betting Odds
| FIGHTER | MONEYLINE | OVER/UNDER |
| ALEXANDER HERNANDEZ | -200 | O 2.5 |
| DAMON JACKSON | +165 | U 2.5 |
Hernandez is coming into fight week as the -200 betting favorite in this one. He is coming in at +100 odds to win inside the distance. Also, including +145 to win by TKO/KO and +900 to win by decision.
Jackson is bringing up the rear as the +165 underdog, according to UFC odds. He is also +290 to get a finish, +1000 to win by TKO/KO, and +425 to win by submission on Saturday night.
Another Hernandez vs Jackson betting line is the over/under at 2.5 rounds with the under actually favorable. Meaning the oddsmakers believe that this fight has a better chance of finish before the 15-minute limit is up. This bout to end inside the distance at -210.
Betting Preview
Alexander Hernandez
Hernandez is a featherweight fighter in the UFC with a professional record of 14-7. Years ago, every one of Alexander Hernandez’s bouts was hyped because he was an 8-1 fighter going into the UFC who was very brash on the mic. Now after struggling at lightweight, he is looking to reinvent his career at 145 lbs. He is a three-time post-fight bonus winner in the UFC as well.
Hernandez is a 5’9” orthodox fighter with a 72” reach, with 6 TKO/KO wins and 2 submissions so far at the age of 31. He averages more significant strikes absorbed (4.90) than he does landed (4.63) per minute. He adds 1.20 takedowns per 15 minutes in the octagon and has a 60% takedown defense.
Damon Jackson
Jackson is a 35-year-old American MMA fighter who is fighting with his back against the wall losing both of his fights in 2023. Before making it into the UFC in 2020, Jackson won an LFA interim belt and an LFC championship belt. He has earned two Performance of the Night bonuses in the UFC so far.
Damon Jackson’s record in professional MMA is 22-6-1 with 4 TKO/KO wins and 15 submissions. The submission threat is best on the ground, averaging 2.44 takedowns per 15 minutes and a 1.6 submission average in that time. He also lands 3.02 significant strikes per minute and absorbs 3.46.
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